The UFC and MMA betting will step into the mainstream with the biggest Heavyweight fight in mixed martial arts history as UFC Heavyweight champ Cain Velasquez defends his belt against the lethal striking of Junior Dos Santos on UFC on Fox 1.
MMA bettors can also get action on nine other fights on the card, which will be free on Fox TV. First, fan favorite Clay Guida battles former WEC champ Benson Henderson with the Sportsbook potentially getting the shot at Frank Edgar’s Lightweight strap.
And then a Bantamweight matchup between two up-and-comers has Dustin Poirier vs. Pablo Garza.
[ Velasquez vs Dos Santos Props: Bet them now at Sportsbook
Cain Velasquez -190
Junior "Cigano" dos Santos +155
Cain Velasquez wins inside distance -120
Cain Velasquez wins by 5 round decision +400
Junior dos Santos wins inside distance +280
Junior dos Santos wins by 5 round decision +800
Draw +5000
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos completes 1 full round-300
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos won't complete 1 full round +200
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos completes 2 full rounds -120
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos won't complete 2 full rounds-120
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos completes 3 full rounds +140
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos won't complete 3 full rounds-200
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos completes 4 full rounds +200
Cain Velasquez vs. Junior dos Santos won't complete 4 full rounds-300
In the main event of the UFC on Fox 1 card we’re taking the champion. (We posted a story at Yardbarker which appears on Foxsports.com, check out our opinion on the Velasquez vs dos Santos odds menu). Despite the boxing skills of Dos Santos we’ve all seen how well Velasquez can counter-punch, and unlike Dos Santos the champion has the option of taking the fight to the ground if things don’t go his way in the stand-up battle.
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We’ll take the -155 Sportsbook price on Velasquez to retain his belt and pass on the +145 Sportsbook upset line on Dos Santos.
In the Lightweight contender matchup we’re going to take a chance on the Sportsbook upset payout of +215 and go with Guida over Henderson. We’re hoping that Guida will be able to keep the pace of the fight up to a tempo where Henderson can’t get into his groove to work his technical skills.
At -255 at Sportsbook the price on Henderson seems to be a little expensive against a top contender in the talent-thick Lightweight division. If he had more power in his strikes that line might make better sense, but the chances of Guida walking right through Henderson is a real possibility.
Finally we have to take Poirier over Garza. Garza is much improved and has only one loss on his record in a fight that he took on five days notice. At +250 at Sportsbook the upset line on Garza is tempting, but not against Poirier’s skills. Poirier will be worth the Sportsbook -325 price and will likely have a short night and an easy paycheck.
• Heavyweight championship bout: Cain Velasquez (9-0) vs. Junior Dos Santos (13-1)
Preliminary card (On FOXSports.com)
• Lightweight: Clay Guida -260 (29-11) vs. Benson Henderson +220 (14-2)
• Featherweight: Dustin Poirier -310 (10-1) vs. Pablo Garza +255 (11-1)
• Featherweight: Cub Swanson +125 (15-4) vs. Ricardo Lamas -155 (10-2)
• Welterweight: DaMarques Johnson -260 (12-9) vs. Clay Harvison +200 (9-3)
• Bantamweight: Norifumi Yamamoto -390 (18-4) vs. Darren Uyenoyama +300 (6-3)
• Featherweight: Mackens Semerzier -115 (6-3) vs. Robert Peralta -115 (15-3)
• Bantamweight: Alex Caceres +200 (5-4) vs. Cole Escovedo -260 (17-8)
• Middleweight: Mike Pierce -360 (12-4) vs. Paul Bradley +270 (18-3)
• Light Heavyweight: Aaron Rosa +120 (16-4) vs. Matt Lucas -150 (14-2)