The UFL season kicks off this week for another season of spring football! The league, which merges the XFL and USFL, will have eight teams focused on winning the inaugural championship.
Each week I'll release my weekly picks for the slate of games, finding you the best betting edge possible.
Season Record: 5-3 (+1.55 Units)
UFL Pick #1 - Renegades -1.0 (-105)
UFL Pick #2 - Showboats +7.0 (+100)
UFL Pick #3 - Houston vs Michigan UNDER 38 (-110)
UFL Pick #4 - St. Louis vs San Antonio OVER 42 (-110)
UFL Week 3 Betting Odds
| When | Favored Team | Point Spread Odds | Underdog Team | OVER/UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 13th, 1 p.m. ET | Arlington Renegades | -1.0 (-105) | D.C. Defenders | 43 (-110) |
| April 13th, 7 p.m. ET | Birmingham Stallions | -7.0 (-120) | Memphis Showboats | 40.5 (-110) |
| April 14th, 12 p.m. ET | Michigan Panthers | -2.0 (-110) | Houston Roughnecks | 38 (-110) |
| April 14th, 3 p.m. ET | St. Louis Battlehawks | -1.0 (-110) | San Antonio Brahmas | 42 (-110) |
UFL week 3 Picks & Best bets
Two Pick 'Em matchups and a super low total. Below I break down my picks for Week 3 of the 2024 UFL season.
d.c. vs arlington: renegades -1.0 (-105)
This is forced to be a pick 'em game given the fact that D.C. earned its first win last week and Arlington stays winless. But, I am super comfortable taking the Renegade's spread at -105 odds. I mean, did you see their season opening schedule?
Arlington kicked off the season facing Birmingham, which is favored to win its third consecutive championship. Then, they visited a solid, talented St. Louis group. However, the Renegades held their own, falling just shy in the 27-24 defeat.
The Renegades average 209.5 passing yards per game (ranked third) and have pocketed 38 points (ranked fourth) so far. Clearly, the offensive talent is there. Arlington was just dealt a tough slate but I think this is the week they get in the win column.
memphis vs birmingham: showboats +7.0 (+100)
Last week we saw the undefeated Stallions use a quarterback tandem of Matt Corral and Adrian Martinez. It's not a bash on Corral's arm but a testament to Martinez's rushing attack.
The Stallions dominate on the ground, rushing over 160 yards last week. On the other side of the ball, Birmingham's defense has allowed a league-low 24 points.
Memphis' offense is mid-tier across the UFL's stats, including passing and rushing yards. The Showboats defense, which has given up the third-fewest 30 points, is the biggest strength. Oh, and they allow a league-low 39 rushing yards per game.
The spread is the largest of the week and we saw Memphis' defense flex against San Antonio last week, losing in a slight 20-19 finish. I think the Showboats will maintain a close distance on the scoreboard.
houston vs michigan: UNDER 38 Points (-110)
The Roughnecks haven't shown me anything, accumulating just 30 points across their first two campaigns -- the fewest in the UFL.
But, hey! Michigan isn't much better, scoring just 31 points this season too. That explains the 38-point total for you.
The Panthers scoring demon is Jake Bates -- the kicker. The 24-year-old has already recorded three 50-plus yard kicks, two of which were from 62-yards or longer.
38 is the 🐐 pic.twitter.com/2JqfmNSX52
— Michigan Panthers (@USFLPanthers) April 10, 2024
Point is, no side here is capable of piling on the points. So, I'm rolling with the UNDER.
st. louis vs san antonio: OVER 42 Points (-110)
This is the toughest game for betting purposes. I think St. Louis has more potential than its 1-1 record suggests. San Antonio remains spotless but had a close-call with Memphis in Week 2, winning by a single point.
Offensively, these two are comparable. The Brahmas (233.5) and Battlehawks (216.5) sit first and second in passing yards. They also are side-by-side in total yards per game.
It's the same narrative defensively, too. Where St. Louis (18 PAPG) and San Antonio (15 PAPG) are similar.
In this case, I'll ride on both teams putting up points and cashing in the OVER.
Total team points scored after Week 2! 🏈 pic.twitter.com/l4q9wDVXi8
— United Football League (@TheUFL) April 11, 2024
How To Bet On UFL Betting Odds:
While you can bet on spreads and point totals, one of the easiest ways to bet on UFL betting odds is through a moneyline. This moneyline bet means you simply pick which side you think will win between the favorite (signaled with a minus sign) and the underdog (with a plus).
A UFL moneyline of +200 means that you would win $200 on a successful $100 wager. That’s also equivalent to fractional odds of 2/1, decimal odds of 3.00 and implied odds of 33.33 percent. A negative moneyline of -200 means that you would have to wager $200 in order to win $100 on the favorite.
