This is where I explain my selection of games I feel will cover the spread. Last week I went 5-2 and almost predicted exact scores for the Washington State/Oregon and Seahawks/Falcons games. I’m feeling so good I’m adding some “moneyline maybes.” WHAT’S THAT? It’s games that the underdog could win straight up and you won’t need any points.
Georgia vs Florida
Parlay: Florida +6.5 & UNDER 47
Florida QB Kyle Trask, with 14 touchdowns, has played smart football and is a solid team leader behind center. On October 5, the Gators were fantastic in a 24-13 win vs Auburn, and they played extremely tough in Baton Rouge against LSU. They will have to do their best to keep Georgia running back D’Andre Swift under control. Georgia is only 131st in passing in the NCAA and leading receiver George Pickens has only 318 receiving yards. The Bulldogs have gone UNDER in four of their last five games overall and in three of their last four conference games. Georgia for the season is only giving up 10 points per game. The Gators are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games and 5-1 straight up in their last six conference games.
Georgia vs Florida Prediction: Georgia 23, Florida 20
Ole Miss vs Auburn
Pick: Auburn Tigers -18.5
The Tigers are coming off a three-game road trip and have Georgia in two weeks. GUESS WHAT? This does not bode well for the Rebels and they are in deep trouble in this one. Ole Miss has lost four of its last five games. The guy Ole Miss will need to look out for on Saturday is Auburn WR Seth Williams, who now has eight touchdown receptions this season and led the Tigers in receiving in last year’s victory over the Rebels. Ole Miss is 1-7-2 ATS in its last 10 games vs Auburn and 0-5 straight up in its last five road games. Auburn is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in its last nine games and is 5-0 ATS in its last five at home.
Ole Miss vs Auburn Prediction: Auburn 45, Ole Miss 16
San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals
Pick: UNDER 43
This 49ers team is the real deal, especially on defense. In their last four games, they have not given up a passing touchdown and have five picks and 18 sacks over those games. San Francisco is first in total yards against and rookie Nick Bosa can lock up defensive rookie player of the year and start looking to get votes for defensive player of the year. Dee Ford, a free-agent pickup from the Chiefs, has been special as well with 4.5 sacks. The undefeated Niners (7-0) have not given up more than 20 points in a game all year and remarkably are yielding only 128 passing yards a game to opposing quarterbacks. Cardinals rookie QB Kyler Murray over the last two weeks has zero touchdown passes and only 224 passing yards.
49ers vs Cardinals Prediction: 49ers 20, Cardinals 13
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars & Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks
7-Point Teaser: Jaguars +8.5 & Seahawks +0.5
The Jaguars are the kings of London, winning three of their last four games there, and in all four games they would have covered a 7-point teaser. Minshew mania (13 TDs, 2 picks) continues to rock across the pond but it’s their rushing game that seems to keep getting better every week and is now fifth in the NFL. The Texans have only had one game decided by more than seven points and are just 2-6 straight up and ATS in their last eight divisional games on the road.
The Seahawks lost their last home game vs Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, but QB Russell Wilson, who has accounted for 20 TDs, will not allow that to happen this week. Look for Bobby Wagner to create problems for QB Jameis Winston all day. Seattle is 12-4 straight up at home after losing its most recent home game. Also, the Seahawks are 19-4 in their last 23 contests hosting a team from the East Coast.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction: Jaguars 24, Texans 22
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction: Seahawks 34, Buccaneers 26
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants
Pick: OVER 48
This has the makings of a Sunday night shootout between Daniel (Jones) and Dak (Prescott). Jones had a four-touchdown game last week in Detroit and Prescott looks to be on track after their blowout of the Eagles. Dallas should move the ball against the 28th-ranked Giants defense, and New York needs to try to box up WR Amari Cooper, who has over 600 yards receiving. Saquon Barkley looks to be back to 100 percent and Jones has had a nice few weeks hooking up with WR Darius Slayton (2 TDs last week vs Lions). When these two bitter rivals met earlier in the season, the game went OVER, and when they met in the last game of the season a year ago, 71 points were scored. Six of the Cowboys’ last seven divisional games have gone OVER, and the last four divisional games for New York have gone OVER.
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction: Cowboys 31, Giants 30
Harry’s Moneyline Maybe Plays
Pick: Miami Dolphins (+140) vs New York Jets
The Dolphins played tough on Monday night vs the Steelers and I’ll take any QB at home against Sammy “The Slug” Darnold.
Miami Dolphins vs Jets Prediction: Dolphins 24, Jets 17
Pick: Detroit Lions (+110) vs Oakland Raiders
The Lions are overall a better team than the Raiders and I’ll roll with Matthew Stafford to light up the Oakland defense.
Detroit Lions vs Oakland Raiders Prediction: Lions 30, Raiders 20
Kansas Jayhawks (+175) vs Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas in the last two weeks has put up 48 points on the road vs Texas and had a great comeback win last week against Texas Tech. The Wildcats did shock Oklahoma but have set themselves up for a major letdown game.
Kansas vs Kansas State Prediction: Kansas 37, Kansas State 31
Pick: New Mexico Lobos (+145) vs Nevada Wolfpack
Nevada has struggled scoring and put up only three points in a 28-point loss last week at Wyoming. The Lobos last week were down 45-3 and came back to almost cover vs Hawaii 45-31. They are playing their backup QB since their starter was kicked off the team and were able to show something in their comeback attempt. Look, both teams are bad so let’s give the not-as-bad-as-the-other-team a shot.
New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction: New Mexico 22, Nevada 14
