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2021 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Betting Odds: Hamilton With Momentum

Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen lead the F1 Belgian Grand Prix Odds

After a long summer break, Formula 1 is finally back with the Belgian Grand Prix this weekend. Lewis Hamilton has moved to the top of the F1 drivers standings after two unproductive races from Max Verstappen as a result of damage to his Red Bull forced by Mercedes. This season isn’t bland. Odds Shark takes an in-depth look at the F1 odds and drivers to back in Sunday’s Belgian Grand Prix.

According to the F1 odds at BetOnline Sportsbook, Max Verstappen (+100) and Lewis Hamilton (+100) are tied at the top of the oddsboard followed by Red Bull’s Sergio Perez (+1400), Mercedes’ Valtteri Bottas (+2000) and McLaren’s Lando Norris (+3300).

Want a reliable betting guide on F1 betting? Take a look at Odds Shark’s dedicated F1 page.

Who Will Win The 2021 Belgian Grand Prix?

2021 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Odds
Max Verstappen+100
Lewis Hamilton+100
Sergio Perez+1400
Valtteri Bottas+2000
Lando Norris+3300
Charles Leclerc+4000
Carlos Sainz+10000
Daniel Ricciardo+15000
Esteban Ocon+15000
George Russell+15000
Sebastian Vettel+15000
Fernando Alonso+25000
Pierre Gasly+25000
Antonio Giovinazzi+50000
Kimi Raikkonen+50000
Lance Stroll+50000
Mick Schumacher+50000
Nicholas Latifi+50000
Nikita Mazepin+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000

Odds as of August 24 at BetOnline Sportsbook

2021 F1 Betting: Previous Race

It seems like so long ago now that Esteban Ocon claimed his first Formula 1 race win as he held off Sebastian Vettel for 70 laps to deliver 25 crucial points to his Alpine team. That is not a statement many thought would be possible in a year when two of the best drivers in the world have been absolutely gunning their engines for the top of the drivers standings.

The Hungarian Grand Prix delivered one of the most thrilling races of the year. There was contact early, created by Valtteri Bottas’ late braking, which forced the retirement of himself, Lando Norris and Sergio Perez in a wet start to the race. After a red flag stoppage, only Hamilton began from the grid in a standing start while every other driver pitted to change to the slicks with no more rain around the Hungaroring.

Hamilton lost places after he had to pit one lap into the restart but came storming back to finish third, a position he would later relinquish to fourth-placed Carlos Sainz after Vettel’s disqualification pushed him one place higher. Verstappen took contact early in the race, but somehow managed to finish with a damaged Red Bull. Sainz rounded off the podium spots, his second finish in the top three as a result of a driver dropping out after the presentation of the trophies.

F1 Belgian Grand Prix Odds: Hamilton Or Verstappen?

At the summer break, Hamilton and Verstappen have continued to spar to the point where sportsbooks simply cannot decide who is the favorite. The F1 odds for both drivers are currently at +100. Which driver or team to back?

Here are some important facts. Firstly, Hamilton and the Mercedes garage were in agreement that the Red Bull and Verstappen were too rapid a combination along the straights in the streets of Baku and Monaco, and then in France and Austria too. But the W12 were not interested in giving up easily as Hamilton came storming back into the championship with a win in Silverstone and a second-place finish in Hungary. The momentum is surely with Hamilton.

“These moments, it doesn’t do anything, it’s just disappointing,” Verstappen said. “I know that when we go again, I will be there again, I’ll try my very best and I hope my car’s going to be competitive. But we’ll find out. Again, taken out by a Mercedes so that’s not what you want. They’re of course very quick, but we will focus on ourselves, we keep pushing and we’ll see where we end up.”

Left-Field F1 Betting Predictions For Belgian Grand Prix

While Hungary was atypical, it does happen in Formula 1 where a driver out of the top two constructors wins a race. It happened with Pierre Gasly and with Charles Leclerc.

Sergio Perez’s F1 odds have remained about the same at +1400. He was the unfortunate recipient of some frenzied driving from Valtteri Bottas as he was taken out in the first lap in Hungary. He will continue to stay around the fight for at least a podium spot.

It has been Bottas’ F1 odds that have taken a bit of a beating as a result of his driving in Hungary. While he has been strong in the races where Mercedes has posed a challenge, he has not found his best form at any point this season. The Red Bull team was not happy either with such a catastrophic error from a driver with his experience.

“I completely understand the feelings,” team principal Toto Wolff said. “All I can do is to take it on us. It was a small mistake being too late on the brakes and took out Lando and the two Red Bulls and it’s not how things should go. But in the rain, it can be quite tricky. Valtteri got sandwiched by the two cars in front, lost all downforce and then it was already too late.”

History Of The Belgian Grand Prix

Jules de Thier and Henri Langlois van Ophem originally designed this circuit back in 1921. At that point, the length of the circuit was close to 15 kilometers. The track was redeveloped more than half a century later, in 1979. Even though the distance was cut by more than half, this remains the longest circuit on the current F1 calendar. Juan Manuel Fangio won the first race at this track, in Formula 1’s maiden championship in 1950.

Race Technicals

While this is one of the most arduous tracks, per lap, on the F1 calendar, its total distance is 308.052 kilometers, split into 44 laps. The lap record at this circuit was set in 2018 by Bottas with a time of 1:46.286.

It has a total of 19 turns, split into three sectors, with two DRS detection zones: the first between turns 1 and 2 and the second between turns 17 and 18. Watch for the tow and the slipstream in this race, particularly along the long straight between turns 4 and 5.

Weather Conditions

While there is a chance of showers on Sunday afternoon at Spa, there isn’t a certainty of precipitation. The average chance of precipitation just after noon on Sunday is ranging between 30 and 40 percent. That will change as the race draws closer.

Betting Strategy For The Belgian Grand Prix

This is as tricky as it comes in F1. There is no clear favorite between Hamilton and Verstappen, which makes making F1 betting decisions fairly hard. Both drivers have an implied probability of winning this race, according to Odds Shark’s calculator, of 50 percent.

In such situations, it is always prudent to look at the technicals of the race and the constructor that has the advantage. There is one long straight here, which will favor Verstappen and the Red Bull. But there is also Hamilton in sprightly form after Silverstone. I still feel there are some issues with the Mercedes along the straights, which might not work well as a matchup against Red Bull.

Take this with a pinch of salt considering how good Hamilton is but I would back Verstappen to overcome his recent struggles and come away with a hard-fought win in Belgium.

The races come quickly now after this summer break. Odds Shark will continue to update you regarding the new F1 odds as this season progresses. Stay tuned.