With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. It’s always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
Last week at the Farmers Insurance Open, we were very close to chasing down the leaders on Sunday. With Sungjae Im and Joaquin Niemann both falling just two strokes shy of the eventual playoff, our pair of young international superstars finished in a tie for sixth. After they failed to convert on their scoring opportunities on the back nine, it was a what-could-have-been for us as we look now to the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
At [ol-sportsbook-bp:48:Bovada:26:Bodog], tournament favorite Patrick Cantlay is -125 to finish inside the top 10. According to our odds calculator, this implies a 55.56 percent chance for him to do so this week. Needing to lay $125 to profit $100, we will instead search further down the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting board in search of some perceived value.
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2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: What To Look For
With many of the biggest names in the game set to play in the Saudi International on the Asian Tour, we are left without the stars who typically travel to Pebble Beach. That means this week could be a prime opportunity for one of the up-and-coming American players to add to their resumes.
This includes the likes of Jordan Spieth, Daniel Berger and tournament favorite Patrick Cantlay. We will begin with Spieth as the new father arrives this season in a completely different spot than last. As most remember, the Texan impressed at the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open, playing in the final group on Sunday alongside Xander Schauffele.
Finding his game seemingly out of thin air, he arrived to Pebble Beach with plenty of confidence and eventually finished in a tie for third. The Spieth resurgence was officially on. However, this time around, he looks lost, having missed the cut in the Farmers Insurance Open.
Now set for his 10th AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the three-time major winner has always had a soft spot for the California coast. With four top-10 finishes and a victory in 2017, if there is a place on the calendar for the 28-year-old to find his game, it is this week.
A player who has no need to find his game is Cantlay – the world No. 4 is one of the hottest players in the world.
Playing in the final round with Daniel Berger last season, the two battled it out along with Spieth. After winning three times in the 2020-21 season, the California kid will likely threaten as some of his best play has occurred in his home state.
Finally, Berger experienced some back pain over the weekend at the Farmers Insurance Open. The defending champion is a perfect fit for the Pebble Beach test and if 100 percent healthy, he should put up a great effort as he has been a successful defender in the past.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Prop Bets & Best Bets: Our Recommendations
Ryan Palmer (+400 to finish inside the top 10)
While the Sony Open and the Farmers Insurance Open are the two tournaments where you historically should target Ryan Palmer, I do not mind him this week at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The Texan has been extremely impressive to begin his 2022, gaining strokes in each statistical category in both of his starts.
Palmer was in the mix at the Sony Open for the majority of the weekend before a few mistakes derailed his chances and he finished in a tie for 12th. He followed up with a tie for 16th at the Farmers Insurance Open, as his January play continued to shine. Seventh in SG: Tee-to-Green by way of ranking inside the top 25 in SG: Off-the-Tee, SG: Approach and SG: Around-the-Green, the bumpy poa annua greens may level the playing field with the putter in hand.
While he has rolled into the month of February, Palmer’s resume and skill set is much more impressive than those around him on the oddsboard. The 45-year-old is now more than a decade removed from his last solo victory on the PGA Tour and while it may be too much to ask him to win this week, a top-10 finish makes for a more reasonable option and thus makes for our first prop bet for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
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Taylor Moore (+750 to finish inside the top 10)
Taylor Moore is a player we targeted at the American Express to no avail, but he once again put his best foot forward. The former Arkansas Razorback contended for much of the week but fell flat at various points in his round as he continues to search for some consistency over the course of 18 holes. While he is able to smooth out these troubles over the entirety of the tournament, he will first need to sniff contention before we back him once again.
Because of this, we will go to the top-10 market as Moore still has a long way to go with his iron play. After losing strokes on approach in consecutive events now, he could find his late 2021 form if he is able to return to his long-term baselines. Finishing inside the top 10 at the RSM Classic and collecting finishes of T-24 at the Shriners Children’s Open and T-17 at the Sanderson Farms Championship, the short nature of the three courses should be to his liking.
Moore is hardly considered a bomber, but more so a plodder. Consistently finding the short grass off the tee, this should set up his iron play for a successful week. If not, he may struggle, but possessing a stellar short game, he will still have a chance to sneak inside the top 10 in his debut appearance at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Vincent Whaley (+850 to finish inside the top 10)
Vincent Whaley is one of the most underrated, consistent golfers on the PGA Tour. Because he missed the cut last week at the Farmers Insurance Open, some may be inclined to overlook his chances this week, but I am willing to chance it was just a blip on the radar. The 26-year-old had previously connected on seven consecutive made cuts dating back to 2021.
With some of those finishes reading T-17 at the Sony Open, T-15 at the HPE Houston Open and T-7 at the Bermuda Championship, the way in which Whaley finds success is extremely unique. Never one to impress with his ball-striking skills, he instead relies on his short game to propel himself up the leaderboard.
Now set for his third AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Whaley has made the cut in both of his previous outings on the Monterey Peninsula. While the finishes have not found the top 10 yet, if his iron play spikes this week, he should have a chance to find the first page of the leaderboard at Pebble Beach.
Joseph Bramlett (+1000 to finish inside the top 10)
Slowly but surely, Joseph Bramlett is getting more and more comfortable on the PGA Tour. After missing five consecutive cuts at one point during his 2021-22 campaign, he has since rattled off three weekend appearances in a row.
On the back of exquisite ball-striking, the Stanford product posted results of T-20 at the Sony Open and T-33 at the American Express, only to be let down by his putting.
Bramlett should thrive in California once again given it is on his native turf. Making his fifth career AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am appearance, he has found his footing in recent years, namely in 2020 when he finished in a tie for 18th. He is clearly comfortable with the three-course rotation and playing with amateurs. If he can find some semblance of form on the greens, the rest of the game should give him a real chance to climb into the top 10 by week’s end.
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Odds Shark Staff Wed, Jun 29, 9:33am