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Expert PGA Betting Picks: Fort Worth Invitational

Zach Johnson reacts after a birdie putt on the 18th hole during the third round of the Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio AT&T Oaks Course on April 19, 2018 in San Antonio, Texas.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the Fort Worth Invitational.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Jimmy Walker +2500

Walker was my top pick in this column last week, and he rewarded me with a solid T-6 16-under finish. The 2016 PGA Championship winner is looking like his usual consistent self after battling Lyme disease and is primed to pick up another PGA Tour win sooner rather than later.

This is Walker’s fifth trip to Colonial – a place where he has posted three top-10s while placing in the top 25 on each occasion. Based on those stats alone, take the +2500 price and run.

Solid value: Zach Johnson +3000

Keeping with the PGA Tour veteran theme, don’t sleep on Johnson in Texas. The Iowa native is as well-travelled as they come at 42 but remains a contender to break out at any given tournament, and the Fort Worth Invitational looks like a prime setting for that to happen.

To put it lightly, Johnson has flat-out owned this golf course. The two-time major champion is the tournament’s all-time money earner and has made the cut in each of his 12 trips here, to go along with two wins and five top-10s. It wouldn’t shock anyone to see Johnson post his 13th tour win on Sunday.

My favorite sleeper pick: Danny Lee +6600

Very quietly, Lee has posted some fantastic rounds in the last few months, yet he’s still not getting much respect from oddsmakers. That’s about to change in the coming months, and all it’s going to take is for him to string together four consecutive strong days.

The South Korean, who recorded a season-best T-7 at The Players Championship, also dazzled at the Houston Open, the RBC Heritage and the Valero Texas Open. Lee’s improvement with the flat stick has been the biggest reason for his resurgence. The 27-year-old has fared well at Colonial, a place where he’s 5-for-5 on cuts made with a T-10, T-22 and a solo sixth in the last three renewals.

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