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Expert PGA Betting Picks: Tour Championship

Tony Finau of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the first round of the Dell Technologies Championship at TPC Boston on August 31, 2018 in Norton, Massachusetts.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the final FedExCup playoffs event of the year, the Tour Championship.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Brooks Koepka +1200

Koepka has gotten to the point where whenever he’s in the field, he has a realistic shot of winning regardless of the competition around him. With only 30 men teeing it up for the final playoff event of 2018, Koepka is an extremely appealing choice to win the Tour Championship.

Fresh off consecutive major victories, Koepka ranks tops in the playoffs in strokes gained tee-to-green, so he’s certainly not slowing down. The extensive rest he received earlier in the season due to injury has him looking fresher than most golfers on the PGA Tour, and he collected a solo sixth at this tournament a year ago.

My second favorite pick: Tony Finau +1800

Finau has been one of the biggest breakout stars on the Tour this season, and a win in the final event of the campaign would be the cherry on top of a fantastic showing in 2017-18. The 29-year-old, who was recently selected as a captain’s pick for the Americans in the upcoming Ryder Cup in France, ranks third in the FedExCup points race entering play this week.

Like Koepka, he’s been rock-solid in the key stat of strokes gained tee-to-green (sitting second in the playoffs) and notched a T-7 in his debut here last year. Big things are on the horizon for the Utah native, so don’t be surprised if he uses the Tour Championship to cap off his coming-out party.

My third favorite pick: Tommy Fleetwood +2500

Speaking of breakout performances, things couldn’t have gone much better than they did for Fleetwood this season. In his first year as a full-time PGA Tour member, the Englishman has dazzled week in and week out, highlighted by a runner-up showing at the U.S. Open, a solo fourth at the Honda Classic and a T-4 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.

Fleetwood is coming off a T-8 at Aronimink, where he posted back-to-back 62s in the middle rounds. Sitting at No. 1 in the all-around ranking, it wouldn’t shock anyone to see him lift the hardware on Sunday. At +2500, the price is too good to pass up for a golfer of Fleetwood’s caliber.

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