Our Top Sportsbooks
Odds Shark Top Sportsbooks
*Terms and Conditions apply to all bonus offers on this website. Visit operator for details.

2021 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Prop Bets

Max Homa is one of our 2021 WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational Prop Bets

With our outright wagers placed, we now turn to the prop market for our expert selections for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude. It’s always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your WGC-FedEx St. Jude prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.

TPC Southwind will be hosting the WGC-FedEx St. Jude for the third time. While it had been hosting some version of the St. Jude Classic since the late 1980s, Firestone Country Club and the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational were kicked to the curb. As such, TPC Southwind stepped up to the plate and has delivered two dramatic tournaments in its first two years as a World Golf Championship venue.

It was here last season that Justin Thomas got the better of Brooks Koepka down the stretch. Brendon Todd, Rickie Fowler and Byeong Hun An were all in contention heading into the final round but wilted down the stretch. That left the door open for Thomas and Koepka to duel on the back nine on Sunday. A final-round 5-under 65 left Thomas three strokes clear of his nearest pursuer as Koepka would find the water with his tee shot on the 72nd hole.

The year before, another duel unfolded and this time Koepka had the upper hand. Paired with Rory McIlroy in the final round of the 2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, golf fans were buzzing about a potential showdown. While Koepka thrived with a round of 5-under 65, McIlroy did not, and carded a final-round 1-over 71. Late charges by Webb Simpson and Marc Leishman would not be enough as Koepka would go on to win by three strokes.

To learn more about wagering on the links, check out our How to Bet on Golf page.

WGC-FedEx St. Jude Prop Bets: What to Look For

We’ve grown accustomed to the weekly birdie fest on the PGA Tour, but this week should play out differently at TPC Southwind. With three out of the last five winning totals at this course coming between 10 and 13 under, daily scores in the mid- to upper 60s should leave players feeling good about themselves.

In order to get to somewhere in the mid-teens under par, we may be able to extrapolate a winning route from players such as Thomas, Koepka and Dustin Johnson. While Thomas wouldn’t be classified as a strong driver of the golf ball, especially when compared to the other two, he was strong off the tee last year, finding the short grass with consistency even if it meant sacrificing some distance.

With penalty areas lurking around what seems like every corner, putting the ball in play is the top priority. From there, iron play will need to be precise, just as it was when Daniel Berger won here in 2016 and 2017, as he posted performances of +12.7 SG: Ball-Striking and +9.5 SG: Ball-Striking in his two victories.

Simply put, ball-striking is of the utmost importance this week at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude. Although a strong short game is always handy, it isn’t a prerequisite for success at TPC Southwind. While I would lean toward more competent players around the green, the same can’t be said for on the greens.

Even when looking at last year’s leaderboard, four of the top 11 players failed to gain strokes on the greens. That includes the winner, Thomas, as well as one of the runners-up in Koepka. While Koepka did gain north of nine strokes the year before, it just goes to prove that a hot putter isn’t a necessity, but just an added bonus at the end of the week.

At Bovada, tournament favorite Brooks Koepka is EVEN to finish inside the top 10. These odds imply a 50.00 percent probability of him being able to do so. As for us, we’ll venture a bit further down the oddsboard as it worked out for us last week. C.T. Pan came through and grabbed the bronze medal at a very nice price at the Olympics. Hopefully, we’ll get another wager across the finish line as we outline our WGC-FedEx St. Jude prop bets.

WGC-FedEx St. Jude Prop Bets & Best Bets: Our Recommendations

Sergio Garcia (+300 to finish inside the top 10):

Garcia just missed our outright selections, but he won’t miss our favorite WGC-FedEx St. Jude prop bets. If getting the ball off the tee is the priority, then there may be no one better over the last decade than Garcia. He’s now rattled off five consecutive top-25 finishes and is just a strong putting week away from potentially capturing another victory.

I mentioned that putting isn’t necessarily needed around TPC Southwind, but it certainly helps. While I don’t envision Garcia making enough putts to win, I do see him making enough to finish inside the top 10. The Spaniard gained a whopping 13 strokes tee to green in his last start at the 3M Open, yet gave more than half of it back to the field by losing –7.3 SG: Putting.

We aren’t asking much from Garcia to improve on that performance, but if he can come in around field average on the greens, then I like his chances at TPC Southwind to cash one of our favorite WGC-FedEx St. Jude best bets.

Sam Burns (+500 to finish inside the top 10):

Despite not having a top-10 finish this summer, this number feels too good to pass up on for a player such as Burns. The winner of the Valspar Championship at the beginning of May, Burns has since been a bit lackadaisical, to put it kindly. While he did finish runner-up in the start immediately after his maiden victory, ever since he’s left a lot to be desired.

Yet, his performance at the Travelers Championship is enough to draw me in for a top-10 finish wager. Finishing in a tie for 13th, Burns posted +6.4 SG: Tee-to-Green at TPC River Highlands. Things weren’t great across the pond, but that’s water under the bridge, if you ask me.

He doesn’t have a ton of experience at TPC Southwind, but he has performed well at correlating courses such as Memorial Park and the Copperhead Course. If he can find fairways on a regular basis, he should play a factor, but a top-10 finish is the prudent play and as such makes for one of my best bets for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.

See Odds Shark’s Best Golf Betting Sites

Max Homa (+600 to finish inside the top 10)

It’s gotten to the point where I don’t know if I have figured out Homa’s ebbs and flows or if I just wager on him so often that it makes me feel like I do. Regardless, he appears to have regained some consistency after a spring filled with ups and downs.

With a made cut at the Open, Homa has now made consecutive cuts for the first time since March. It was in March and the early parts of 2021 that he really found himself as a golfer. A strong ball-striker, Homa made vast improvement around the greens, leading him to a victory at the Genesis Invitational.

Those strides abandoned him not far after, but perhaps they have finally returned. He was in the positive around the green in Detroit and if that proves to be the case in Memphis, the rest of his tee-to-green game will hold steady. While he hasn’t been great on the greens lately, when he’s on, he’s on and thus makes the list of my best bets for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.

Jim Herman (+600 to finish inside the top 20):

Don’t look now, but the man striving to win the Player Impact Program has discovered some form. Connecting on the weekend in four straight outings, Herman has also found his way into the top 30 in each of those starts. While the irons have improved, it has been the consistent play from off the tee that has propelled Herman into a made-cut streak.

Gaining a combined 10.7 SG: Off-the-Tee in his last three starts, the 2020 Wyndham Championship winner could have the type of game suited for TPC Southwind. With a cooperative putter of late, Herman’s chances will likely come down to his around-the-green play. It’s been quite ugly at times and especially recently, failing to gain strokes in said category in his last three starts.

But here’s the thing, he only needs to beat out 46 other competitors for this wager to cash. With no cut in store for the weekend, maybe that’ll free Herman up around the green and allow him to break through the top-20 door that he’s been knocking on over the past month. If not, he still has the ball-striking to give himself a chance by week’s end and that’s why he is my final best bet of the WGC-FedEx St. Jude.

See Odds Shark’s Best Golf Betting Sites