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FireKeepers Casino 400 Odds: Larson Favored To Win

Kyle Larson is the favorite in the FireKeepers Casino 400 Odds.

Tensions are rising with just two races remaining before the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs begin. After back-to-back road courses, the drivers will head to Michigan International Speedway this week and Kyle Larson is the favorite in the FireKeepers Casino 400 odds.

FireKeepers Casino 400 Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has listed the FireKeepers Casino 400 betting odds and has Larson as the +275 favorite. He is followed by Chase Elliott at +650, Kevin Harvick at +700, Kyle Busch at +725 and Denny Hamlin at +800 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

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Odds to Win The FireKeepers Casino 400
DriverOdds
Kyle Larson+275
Chase Elliott+650
Kevin Harvick+700
Kyle Busch+725
Denny Hamlin+800
Martin Truex Jr.+800
Joey Logano+900
Brad Keselowski+1200
William Byron+1200
Alex Bowman+1600
Ryan Blaney+1600
Christopher Bell+2500
Kurt Busch+2800
Tyler Reddick+3500
Austin Dillon+5000
Ross Chastain+8000
Aric Almirola+9000
Chase Briscoe+10000
Matt DiBenedetto+10000
Chris Buescher+15000
Daniel Suarez+15000
Ryan Newman+15000
Bubba Wallace+20000
Cole Custer+20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+20000
Erik Jones+25000
Ryan Preece+25000
BJ McLeod+40000
Michael McDowell+40000
Justin Haley+75000
Corey LaJoie+125000
Anthony Alfredo+250000
Cody Ware+250000
Josh Bilicki+300000
Quin Houff+300000
Garrett Smithely+400000

Odds as of August 19 at Bovada

Larson’s odds of +275 represent an implied win probability of 26.67 percent which you can see with our sports betting calculator. If you’re intrigued by the FireKeepers Casino betting lines and want to wager on the race, check out our how to bet NASCAR guide to get in you in the racing action.

Michigan International Speedway: Reasons For Larson Being Favored

While Ford’s have dominated Michigan in recent memory, winning each of the last six runnings there, but prior to that, Chevrolet won three in a row. The driver that won all three of those races in the Chevy was none other than Kyle Larson.

Combine that previous success at Michigan with his incredible run thus far in 2021 and it's understanding why Larson would be the chalk at this track – and any track to be fair. This season, Kyle has the most wins (five), most top-five finishes (13), most top-10 finishes (17), the most stage wins (12) and has led the most laps (1,496) – he’s head and shoulders above the rest.

NASCAR Prediction This Week For The FireKeepers Casino 400: Michigan International Speedway

I’m really excited for this race because I think there are several drivers that could be in contention of grabbing the checkered flag as we near the end of the race. Of course, Kyle Larson will be the car to beat but there definitely could be value elsewhere. Here are my three picks to win the FireKeepers Casino 400.

Kyle Larson +275: No surprise here I don’t think. Quite simply, the current points leader and favorite in the NASCAR Cup championship odds, Larson, has been the most dominant driver this season and has had success at Michigan in the past with three straight wins from 2016 into 2017. Add in the fact that he is starting on the pole gives him the advantage to jump out in front, it’s his race to lose.

Kevin Harvick +700: This is a tricky pick as Harvick is nowhere near as dominant as he was in 2020. To put in perspective, he had the most wins, top-five finishes, top-10 finishes and laps led last year. In 2021, he doesn’t have a victory, no stage wins, only five top-five finishes and doesn’t have a win. As a result, Harvick currently would be the 16th and final driver into the playoffs.

That said, the 2014 champion has won four of the last five at Michigan, including the last three in a row. Overall at this track, he has five wins and seven second-place finishes so with his playoff hopes somewhat on the line, this could be the race he breaks through this season.

Denny Hamlin +800: Hamlin was close to picking up his first win of the season last week at Indianapolis but Chase Briscoe spun him out with two laps to go. Earlier this year, Denny was very consistent with eight top-five finishes through the first nine races, including five podium finishes. In the 15 races since, he has just four top-five finishes and no podiums.

While he has a playoff position clinched already, you know he wants a win and he has finished second at Michigan in two of the last three races and has two wins there earlier in his career. With victory snatched from his hands last week, we may see Denny as a man on a mission and could pick up his first win this week.