Devin Booker

NBA Expert Picks Tonight: Suns To Hold Down Home Court vs. Timberwolves

For all NBA games scheduled for Friday, April 5, 2024, here are three spread, moneyline, and OVER/UNDER you need to strongly consider making:

Jump To Picks

Recent Picks: April 4, 2024 (1-2)

GameBetResultW or LUnits
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston RocketsRockets ML133-110 WarriorsL-1
Sacramento Kings vs. New York KnicksKings ATS +3.5120-109 KnicksL-1
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami HeatOVER 210 Total Points214 Total Points0.91
Overall 1-2 -1.09

Season Picks: Since Jan. 8, 2024

MarketRecordUnits
Moneyline20-25-6.6
Spread26-212.44
OVER/UNDER22-24-4
Overall68-70 (49.2%)-8.16

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs. Phoenix Suns

Matchup Page: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns, 10 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Minnesota Timberwolves+4 (-110)+144O 217 (-110)
Phoenix Suns-4 (-110)-172U 217 (-110)

Pick: Phoenix Suns ML

This is just the eighth time all season that the Minnesota Timberwolves have entered a matchup on the road as underdogs of four points or more, winning two of those prior games SU and covering the spread on three occasions. 

They've won two in a row, six of their last seven, and nine of their last 11. The Phoenix Suns are no slouches themselves, though, having won three of their last four against the reigning champion Denver Nuggets, New Orleans Pelicans, and Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Suns possess the league's fourth-best offense since March 20, but the Timberwolves have held opponents to 102.4 points per 100 possessions since then. With the backdrop of the Footprint Center, and even with enticing underdog odds for Minnesota, let's roll with Phoenix as they're a stellar 20-7 at home as four-point favorites or better with four-straight wins under that criteria. It also blew out the Timberwolves earlier in the season, as well.

Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Matchup Page: Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 8 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Toronto Raptors+15.5 (-110)+750O 227 (-110)
Milwaukee Bucks-15.5 (-110)-1200U 227 (-110)

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks ATS -15.5

I recently took a deep dive into the Toronto Raptors' lack of success covering the spread since March 1 in a piece you can check out by clicking here. In it, you'll see how the team's ongoing 15-game SU losing streak hasn't been any better at 3-12 ATS, but anyone fading the team during this period has likely picked up some noticeable gains.

Toronto is once again an underdog of 15 points or more as it heads into a matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum. This is the fourth time since March 11 this has been the case for the Raptors, who lost all three games SU and covered just once against the Denver Nuggets.

The Bucks are on a skid of their own, losing their last two games to the Washington Wizards and Memphis Grizzlies who are a combined 71 games under the .500 mark. They'll have to wake up sooner or later, and considering Toronto's historic struggles as of late, having just lost its last game by a franchise-worst 48 points to the Timberwolves, this is a golden opportunity for Milwaukee to right the ship and cover.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers

Matchup Page: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers, 7 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Oklahoma City Thunder+5.5 (-112)+180O 233.5 (-110)
Indiana Pacers-5.5 (-108)-215U 233.5 (-110)

Pick: UNDER 233.5 Total Points

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging just 102.5 points (26th) over their last two games as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jaylen Williams have been absent due to injury.

Both players have already been ruled out for Friday's game against the Indiana Pacers, who've hit the UNDER in 13 of their last 18 games overall and eight of their last 11 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

A total of 233.5 points is a tall mountain to climb, and with key players missing, while also factoring in the Pacers' UNDER history as of late, this bet feels safe. 

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