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UNDER Has Been Routine In Falcons-Giants Matchups

Daniel Jones and the Giants are field-goal favorites vs the Falcons in NFL betting odds.

The New York Giants (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS) hope some extra rest will help them find a way to pick up their first win Sunday when they host the Atlanta Falcons (0-2, 0-2) as small home favorites at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. The Giants are coming off a tough 30-29 loss to Washington in the Week 2 Thursday Night Football matchup – covering the spread as 4-point road underdogs – while the Falcons were blown out 48-25 by Tampa Bay.

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants
  • Date/Time: September 26, 1 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: MetLife Stadium
  • TV Coverage: Fox
  • Opening Odds: Giants -2.5 | O/U 43.5 (Line History)
  • Falcons vs Giants Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

New York was on its way to earning a divisional road victory last Thursday when a costly penalty gave Washington’s kicker a second shot at a potential game-winning field goal. Of course Dustin Hopkins took advantage and moved the Giants to 0-2 despite the fact they played very well for most of the game. The same cannot be said of Atlanta’s performance at Tampa Bay, which was only slightly better than the team’s season-opening home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. New York is getting a little love from the betting public in moving up to -3, but the bigger line move revolves around the total, which has jumped up 5 points already to 48.5 due to two poor defenses here.

Atlanta News & Notes

Through the first two games of his NFL head coaching career, Arthur Smith looks out of his league, while his former team in Tennessee looks to be doing just fine without him. Smith served as the Titans’ offensive coordinator in 2019 and 2020 before landing this job, and so far he has done little to salvage quarterback Matt Ryan’s career.

While Ryan and the Falcons showed some glimpses of hope vs the Bucs, cutting an 18-point deficit to three at the end of the third quarter, it was the veteran signal-caller’s two pick-sixes in the final eight minutes that ultimately spelled their doom. They did look better offensively, but those turnovers proved to be costly.

New York News & Notes

Daniel Jones appears to have turned a corner for the Giants under second-year head coach Joe Judge, keeping his team in the game throughout at Washington before falling short. Jones was sacked four times for 21 yards but did not turn the ball over, throwing for 249 yards with one touchdown and running for 95 and another score to do his part.

Unfortunately for him, he did not play on the other side of the ball, with New York’s defense getting scorched by Taylor Heinicke, who completed 34 of 46 passes for 336 yards with two touchdowns and one interception.

Heinicke was sacked by the Giants on Washington’s opening drive of the game but then basically had his way with them the rest of the way, which could be promising for Ryan and company if he can avoid turnovers.

Staff Betting Pick: UNDER 48.5

The major line move on the total is a little questionable considering how each of these teams played in their season openers. After combining for only 19 points in their Week 1 losses, they totaled 54 between them in Week 2. Still, it is hard to trust either offense to explode again in this spot regardless of how bad the defenses are. The UNDER is 11-1 in the past 12 meetings, so continue to ride that series trend.

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Shark Bites
  • The UNDER is 11-1 in the past 12 meetings.
  • Atlanta is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
  • New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.