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Home Has Not Been so Sweet For the Cowboys

Week 5 will see a rare matchup between the 2-2 Bengals and the 3-1 Cowboys as Dallas hosts Cincinnati on Sunday for the first time since 2008. The Boys will look to win consecutive home games this weekend for the first time since October 2014 when they won three in a row at AT&T Stadium. Since then? Dallas is just 3-11 in friendly territory.

SHARK BITES
  • The Bengals are 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
  • The Cowboys are 1-8 SU in their last nine games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Bengals' last 11 games in October.

Cincinnati got back to .500 last week after thrashing the Dolphins 22-7 on a short week. AJ Green looked like a shark among fish in the contest, racking up 10 catches, 173 yards and a touchdown on just 12 targets. The big wideout, however, was pretty much the only source of offense and the Bengals had to rely heavily on the shortcomings of a sputtering Dolphins offense. The Cowboys have proved they can move the rock with rookie QB Dak Prescott at the helm and should be able to offer the Bengals a stiff challenge on their home turf.

Ezekiel Elliott has really broken out his last two games as he’s combined for 278 yards on 53 carries for an average of 5.25 yards per carry. This success in the running game has opened things up through the air but Prescott still refuses to throw the ball deep down the field and with Dez Bryant’s status questionable, we could see that trend continue. Playing the check-down game and forcing underneath routes has worked for Dak in the early stages of the season but he could get a reality check against a Bengals D that allowed Ryan Tannehill to throw for just 189 yards in Week 4 – 74 of them on a blown coverage to deep threat Kenny Stills.

The Bengals have not earned consecutive wins since December of last year as they are 0-4 in their last four games after wins, yet opened as a slight -1 favorite in this one. The Cowboys have not earned an ATS loss yet this season so plus points for Dallas could be very attractive if that line grows.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Oddsmakers at Bovada had the Dallas Cowboys as -1.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 45.5.

OddsShark computer score prediction models pick a possible 26-19 win for the Cowboys on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Dallas will face the 2-2 Cincinnati Bengals, who own a 1-2-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Cowboys and Bengals are both 2-2 so far this season. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Dallas vs Cincinnati injuries news.

The Cowboys - Bengals odds would favor the Bengals if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Dallas is rated No. 22 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Bengals sit at No. 7.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Dallas Cowboys No. 10-ranked offense (25.25 PPG) against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that ranks No. 13 at 20.5 PPG. The Cowboys passing attack has averaged 246.75 yards per game, more than the Bengals give up through the air (225.25 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Cincinnati Bengals own the league's No. 27-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 138 yards per game when on the road. Dallas, on the other hand, rates No. 2 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Cincinnati won its last game, 22-7 over Miami on Thursday, behind a 173-yard receiving performance from A.J. Green at Paul Brown Stadium.

Ezekiel Elliott ran through the San Francisco defense for 138 yards in Dallas's last game, handing the 49ers a 24-17 setback on Sunday at Levi's Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Cincinnati is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Cincinnati is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 15 games
  • Cincinnati is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • Dallas is 6-10-2 ATS in its last 18 games
  • Dallas is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games
  • Dallas is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Cincinnati at New England, Sunday, October 16th
Dallas at Green Bay, Sunday, October 16th

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