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Brady and the Pats are Big Favorites vs Cincy

It didn’t take long for Tom Brady to get reacquainted with his New England Patriots teammates, as the Pats (4-1) rolled to a 33-13 victory over the lowly Cleveland Browns in Brady’s return. Next up on the docket is a date with the struggling Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at Gillette Stadium.

Shark Bites
  • The Bengals are 5-18-1 SU in their last 24 games in Week 6.
  • The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as home favorites.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Bengals' last 13 games as road underdogs.

Cincy hasn’t enjoyed facing the Pats in recent clashes between the squads. The Bengals are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last five games against New England. The Pats, who fell to Buffalo in their last home game, are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in their previous nine home contests after suffering a loss in Massachusetts.

Sportsbooks opened the Patriots as 9-point chalk with a total of 47.

That’s a good omen for UNDER bettors, as the Bengals have gone below the closing total in 11 of their last 13 as road underdogs.

Brady played like a man possessed against the Browns, throwing three touchdowns for 406 yards. The veteran amassed a 70 percent completion rate to go along with a 127.7 quarterback rating. It’s safe to assume Touchdown Tom isn’t dealing with any rust from the suspension.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Cincinnati Bengals were listed as 8-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as TopBet, with the total listed at 47.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 31-16 victory for the Patriots. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Cincinnati Bengals will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 1-3-1 ATS against the spread this season, while the New England Patriots are 4-1 ATS. Cincinnati is 2-3 on the over under betting totals; New England is 1-3-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs Cincinnati injuries news.

The New England Patriots sit at No. 7 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Cincinnati Bengals are at No. 12 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New England's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 22.8 PPG, against a Bengals defense that ranks No. 16 this week at 22 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 249.6 yards per game, more than the Bengals secondary allows through the air, 224.6 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Cincinnati Bengals own the league's No. 31-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 152 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 3 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Andy Dalton threw a pair of TD passes in Cincinnati's last match, but they were defeated anyway by Dallas 28-14 in Week 5 action on Sunday.

Tom Brady dusted the Browns secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Patriots defeated Cleveland 33-13 at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Cincinnati is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 16 games
  • Cincinnati is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Cincinnati home to Cleveland, Sunday, October 23rd
New England at Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 23rd