The Cleveland Browns are a solid 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the division-rival Cincinnati Bengals as those teams renew hostilities at Paul Brown Stadium on Thursday Night Football this week.
But overall, the Browns have lost 17 straight divisional road games SU, which makes them a risky bet here. Interestingly, this battle could be a candidate to go UNDER the total is recent rushing stats hold up.
Cincy is #1 in home rushing at 156.2 YPG while the Browns rank #29 in stopping the run on the road 153.7 YPG. That edge cuts the other way as the Browns are #6 at 142.3 YPG as a road rushing team while the Bengals are #25 at 126.5 YPG allowed against the run at home.
"Might both teams pound the ball on the ground and test the other's team run-stop?" asked Mike Pickett of OddsShark.com. "This game is a candidate to go UNDER the total (45.5 at Sportsbook is the best line) if the ball stays on the ground and the clock keeps ticking."
The Browns and Bengals split their two meetings last season both SU and ATS, and despite Cleveland's healthy ATS record against Cincinnati lately they're just 3-7 SU over their past 10 meetings dating back to 2009.
Totals bettors have watched the OVER pay out in seven of the last 10 games between the Browns and Bengals; the OVER/UNDER was 1-1 last season.
Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Sportsbook Odds and Betting Line
On the Sportsbook betting line for this matchup, the Cincinnati Bengals sat as 6-point favorites but it was bet up to -7 at Sportsbook. The total, has been pegged by the odds makers at Sportsbook at 44 but it has climbed a bit higher.
Computer Prediction: Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Pick
Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 23-21 win for the Bengals on Thursday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds and Stats.
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Cincinnati Bengals sit at 5-2-1 (4-3-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Cleveland Browns are currently 5-3 (4-3-1 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Cincinnati is 4-4 OU, and Cleveland is 4-4 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Cincinnati vs Cleveland injuries news.
The game pits the Cincinnati Bengals, currently No. 17 in our Odds Shark NFL Power Rankings, against the Cleveland Browns, who rate No. 22 in the latest survey.
How Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Stats Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Cincinnati Bengals No. 13-ranked offense (24.25 PPG) against a Cleveland Browns defense that ranks No. 8 at 21.12 PPG. The Bengals passing attack has averaged 240.25 yards per game, less than the Browns give up through the air (250.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Cleveland Browns own the league's No. 29-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 153.67 yards per game when on the road. Cincinnati, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Last time out, Cleveland got 2 scoring strikes from Brian Hoyer in a 22-17 win over Tampa Bay.
Last time we saw the Jaguars, they had no answer for Jeremy Hill as the Bengals rolled to a 33-23 victory at Paul Brown Stadium.
Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Betting Odds Trends
Cleveland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 10-4-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Cleveland home to Houston, Sunday, November 16th
Cincinnati at New Orleans, Sunday, November 16th