The Los Angeles Chargers (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) are 6-0 SU in their last six home games against the Cleveland Browns (3-1, 3-1). The Chargers hope to extend that winning streak with a win against the Browns on Sunday in Los Angeles.
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
This game opened as a pick’em, but action on the Chargers has bumped the line up to Los Angeles -1.5. The total has seen significant movement from its opener at 50.5 points as it is now down to 46.5 points. Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against the Chargers.
Cleveland News & Notes
On a day when Baker Mayfield wasn’t at his best, the Browns defense stepped up to lead Cleveland to a 14-7 win over the Minnesota Vikings. Mayfield finished the day with only 155 passing yards and no touchdowns, completing only 15 of his 33 pass attempts.
But the rest of the team played well enough to get the win as Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined for 169 rushing yards and the defense allowed the Vikings only seven points and 255 total yards.
The Browns improved to 3-1 SU and ATS with the win and have now looked great in back-to-back weeks on defense after allowing only six points in a 26-6 win over the Chicago Bears in Week 3.
Cleveland seems content to keep things simple in the passing game while relying heavily on the elite running back duo of Chubb and Hunt, especially with top wideout Jarvis Landry on injured reserve.
Los Angeles News & Notes
The Chargers picked up a statement win on Monday Night Football over the Las Vegas Raiders, shutting down the Raiders’ high-powered offense en route to a 28-14 victory.
Los Angeles is now 3-1 SU and ATS on the season and 7-1 SU and ATS over its last eight games dating back to last year. Justin Herbert has thrown seven touchdown passes with no interceptions in the Bolts’ last two games.
Los Angeles now ranks ninth in total defense, allowing 332 total yards per game, and seventh in points allowed at 18.5 per game. With a solid defense and one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL running the offense, the Chargers suddenly look like a legitimate threat to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West.
Why Cleveland Will Cover
Cleveland’s defense ranks second in the NFL in total yards allowed (250.3 per game) and fourth in points allowed (16.8). Couple that with the league’s best rushing attack, averaging 177 yards per game, and the Browns are just built to wear teams down and win games.
Why Los Angeles Will Cover
Cleveland’s defense has looked great this season, but the Browns have also had a soft schedule over their last three games facing the Texans, Bears and Vikings. The Browns will be facing a much better all-around team this Sunday, and the Chargers having home field in what should be a competitive game doesn’t hurt at all.
Computer Pick: Browns PK
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