NFL bettors will be looking for an OVER result in New England on Saturday night as Tom Brady and the Patriots play host to Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts in Divisional Round odds action.
The Patriots and Colts have played to four straight OVER results for totals bettors on the NFL odds dating back to 2009, before Luck was Indy's QB. Luck and the Colts last faced the Pats in November 2012, with New England rolling to a 59-24 home win as a 10-point favorite for their supporters that day.
[ Colts vs. Patriots prop bets, click here for Luck and Brady props ]
Indianapolis came back from a 31-10 halftime deficit on Wild Card Weekend to beat the Kansas City Chiefs 45-44 and advance to play the Patriots. Luck threw for 443 yards with four TDs and three interceptions for Indianapolis in that comeback win and he faces a 7-point spread in early Divisional Playoff betting at Bovada.
Overall, the Colts are 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to New England, while the Patriots are just 2-6 ATS at home in playoffs since 2008. However, the Patriots are 5-1 ATS when favored at home.
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The Colts have played six straight OVERs on road vs AFC East teams, while the Patriots have played five straight OVERs at home vs AFC South teams. Overall, the Patriots are 16-2 SU, 11-6-1 ATS vs AFC South since 2003.
The Colts will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 11-6 ATS against the number this season, while the Patriots are 8-8 ATS. Indianapolis is 9-8 on the totals; New England is 9-7.
View Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots Odds and Stats.
The visitors opened as 7-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 53 at most shops.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Patriots at No. 6 and the Colts at No. 15 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 29-25 result in favor of the Patriots.
In their last action, Indianapolis was a 45-44 winner at home against the Chiefs. They covered the 1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (89) was profitable news for OVER bettors. LeGarrette Blount ran through the Buffalo defense for 189 yards in New England's last game, handing the Bills a 34-20 setback on Sunday at Gillette Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New England's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 27.75 PPG, against a Colts defense that ranks No. 12 this week at 22.35 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 255.44 yards per game, more than the Colts secondary allows through the air, 239.65 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Colts feature the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 124.63 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 4 in rushing offense at home.
A few Colts at Patriots trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indianapolis home to , Wednesday, December 31st
New England home to , Wednesday, December 31st
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