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Trends Pointing to UNDER in Packers-Jaguars

Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers NFL

A battle between one of the NFL’s most established franchises and an up-and-coming team with a less than stellar past is set for Week 1 as the Green Bay Packers invade EverBank Field for a date with the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Shark Bites
  • The Jaguars are 1-16 SU in their last 17 games against the NFC.
  • The Packers are 0-3 ATS in their last three games against the Jaguars.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Jaguars' last seven games as underdog.

With a revamped defense and a young, star-studded offense, the Jags are in prime position to break out. They were a much different team in their last showing against Green Bay – a 24-15 loss on October 28, 2012. Quarterback Blake Bortles threw for 35 touchdowns in his second season last year, and the Allen Robinson-Allen Hurns wide receiver duo is emerging into a nightmare for opposing secondaries.

Green Bay is coming off a rocky 2015 campaign, but any offense led by superstar quarterback Aaron Rodgers is going to be deadly. Veteran wideout Jordy Nelson, who missed the entire 2015 season, is back in the fold. Head coach Mike McCarthy told reporters after Green Bay’s final preseason game that Nelson will fire on all cylinders despite not playing a snap in the preseason.

The Packers, who are currently 4.5-point favorites, are a solid straight-up wager as road chalk. In their last 13 against when tabbed as faves away from home, the green and gold are 10-3 SU.

Sportsbooks are dealing a total of 48, which will appeal to UNDER bettors. The UNDER is a perfect 6-0 in Green Bay’s last six games with a closing total of 48 or more.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Jacksonville Jaguars were listed as 3.5-point underdogs at Bovada and other online Sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 48.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 23-16 win for the Packers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Green Bay Packers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Green Bay Packers have seen them go 11-7 and 11-7 ATS so far this season, while the Jacksonville Jaguars are at 5-11 and 7-8-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Jaguars are 10-6, while the Packers are 6-12. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Jacksonville vs Green Bay injuries news.

The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Jacksonville Jaguars at No. 17 and the Green Bay Packers at No. 16 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Jacksonville Jaguars No. 14-ranked offense (23.5 PPG) against a Green Bay Packers defense that ranks No. 11 at 20.39 PPG. The Jaguars passing attack has averaged 256.75 yards per game, more than the Packers give up through the air (235.56 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Green Bay Packers own the league's No. 12-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 111.6 yards per game when on the road. Jacksonville, on the other hand, rates No. 19 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Jeff Janis was good for 145 receiving yards in the Packers's most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn't help his team to victory and they fell 26-20 to the Packers.

Allen Robinson was good for 108 receiving yards in the Jaguars's most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn't help his team to victory and they fell 30-6 to the Jaguars.

Betting Trends
  • Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Green Bay's last 15 games
  • Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
  • Jacksonville is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Green Bay at Minnesota, Sunday, September 18th
Jacksonville at San Diego, Sunday, September 18th