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Titans Have Had Major Issues Covering the Spread vs the Texans

Winners of four of their last five, the Tennessee Titans have fought their way back into the AFC South division race and sit tied with the Jacksonville Jaguars for the best record at 7-4 SU. Tennessee gets a very winnable game against the visiting Houston Texans in Week 13.

MyBookie opened the Titans as touchdown home favorites with a total of 42.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Texans’ last four games in December.
  • The Titans are 8-27-2 ATS in their last 37 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Titans are 5-1 SU in their last six games after losing the previous game in a matchup.

Quarterback Marcus Mariota hasn’t played his best football in recent weeks but the talented backfield duo of DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry have helped shoulder the load on offense. The pair have combined for eight touchdowns and five plays of 20 yards or more in 2017. Meanwhile, Mariota owns a disappointing 9-12 touchdown-to-interception ratio and simply must play better if the Titans want to be a true force in the AFC.

The Texans should be in the midst of a memorable season but the season-ending injury to Deshaun Watson has thrown a major wrench into those plans. Tom Savage has looked very ordinary in his place, and it’s quite clear at this point Savage is not going to be a difference-maker in the NFL.

Houston possesses some great depth on offense with Lamar Miller and DeAndre Hopkins, but opposing defenses are daring Savage to beat them and it’s been a sound strategy so far. The signal-caller threw two interceptions while completing 22 of 37 passes in Houston’s 23-16 loss to Baltimore on Monday Night Football in Week 12.

The good news for Houston bettors is the team’s penchant for covering the spread when facing Tennessee. In the Texans’ last eight vs the Titans, they’re 7-1 ATS.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The point spread was settled in at -7 for the host Tennessee Titans earlier in the week, according to Bovada. The OVER/UNDER betting line was hovering around 42, with odds movement expected during the week at MyBookie.

OddsShark NFL prediction models pointed to a 30-14 result in favor of the Titans on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Houston Texans will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 7-4 versus the spread this season, while the Tennessee Titans are 4-6-1 ATS. Houston is 6-4-1 against the OVER/UNDER total, while Tennessee is 7-4 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tennessee vs Houston injuries news.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 18-rated Titans and the No. 14-ranked Texans, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tennessee's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 22 PPG, against a Texans defense that ranks No. 29 this week at 25.91 PPG. The Titans aerial game is averaging 207.55 yards per game, less than the Texans secondary allows through the air, 243.91 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Texans own the league's No. 2-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 83.4 yards per game when on the road. Tennessee, on the other hand, rates No. 4 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

DeAndre Hopkins hauled in 7 passes for 125 yards against the Baltimore defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 23-16 loss against the Ravens on Monday.

In their last game, the Titans were Week 12 winners, coming out on top of the Colts by a score of 20-16.

Betting Trends
  • Houston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
  • Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 10 games
  • Tennessee is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Houston home to San Francisco, Sunday, December 10
Tennessee at Arizona, Sunday, December 10