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Jaguars open as underdog vs Patriots

New England PatriotsJacksonville Jaguars
Dec 23, 1:00 PM | Grass of EverBank Field

New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Odds


The New England Patriots are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Jacksonville Jaguars and will be a heavy favorite to add another win this Sunday when they visit the Jags at EverBank Field. Jacksonville is 1-6 SU and ATS at home this season.

New England is 15-4 SU and 14-3-2 ATS in its last 19 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 12 games.

View New England vs Jacksonville Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Jacksonville opened as 14.5-point underdogs at shops such as 5Dimes, while the NFL total was set at 49 for over under betting.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 32-rated Jaguars and the No. 4-ranked Patriots, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 39-14 result in favor of the Patriots.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Jacksonville's No. 31-ranked offense (15.6 PPG) against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 17 at 22.5 PPG. The Jaguars passing attack has averaged 201.6 yards per game, less than the Patriots give up through the air (270.4 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Patriots own the league's No. 7-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 93 yards per game when on the road. Jacksonville, on the other hand, rates No. 31 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

New England lost its last outing, a 41-34 result against the 49ers on December 16. The Patriots failed to cover in that game as a 3.5-point favorite, while the 75 combined points took the game OVER the total. Tom Brady handled the 49ers defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 443 yards and 1 scores, but New England still lost to San Francisco 41-34.

Last time out for Jacksonville, they were a 24-3 loser as they battled the Dolphins on the road. The Jaguars failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point underdog, while 27 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Cecil Shorts was good for 101 receiving yards in the Jaguars's most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn’t help his team to victory and they fell 24-3 to the Jaguars.

New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in December are 2-8
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 0-10

A few Patriots at Jaguars trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 12 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing New England
Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Next up:
New England home to Miami, Sunday, December 30
Jacksonville at Tennessee, Sunday, December 30