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SNF Betting Preview: Patriots at Texans

Sunday Night Football Patriots Texans

In the wake of back-to-back losses, oddsmakers aren’t giving the banged up New England Patriots a lot of respect in Week 14 against the Houston Texans in the Lone Star State. Most sportsbooks opened the Pats as 3.5-point chalk – the second lowest spread in their favor so far in the 2015 campaign.

Shark Bites
  • The Patriots are 22-4 SU in their last 26 games in December.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Patriots' last six games against the Texans.
  • The Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after a loss.

Trend seekers will be happy to know the Patriots have traditionally matched up well against Houston, owning a 4-1 ATS record in their last five clashes with the Texans.

The Texans were winners of four in a row prior to last week’s tilt with the Buffalo Bills but were brought down to life thanks to a 30-21 loss at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The Patriots looked like a different team than we’re used to seeing against Philadelphia and were clearly missing some key pieces on offense in Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman. If New England loses three in a row, there may be a slight sense of panic in Massachusetts.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds makers at Bovada had the Houston Texans as 3.5-point underdogs in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 44.5.

Odds Shark prediction models pick the Texans to win this game on Sunday 23-20. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the Houston Texans are 6-6 overall and 6-6 ATS against the spread, while the Patriots are 10-2 and 5-4-3 ATS. As for the totals, Houston is 7-5 on the OU, and New England is 7-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs New England injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Houston Texans rated this week at No. 14 and the New England Patriots sitting at No. 3.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Houston Texans No. 22-ranked offense (21.08 PPG) against a New England Patriots defense that ranks No. 10 at 20.58 PPG. The Texans passing attack has averaged 261.42 yards per game, more than the Patriots give up through the air (241.67 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the New England Patriots own the league's No. 23-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 127.8 yards per game when on the road. Houston, on the other hand, rates No. 16 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Patriots got 3 passing scores out of Tom Brady, but lost 35-28 to the Eagles on Sunday at Gillette Stadium.

Brian Hoyer beat the Bills secondary for 3 TDs last time out, but the Texans lost to Buffalo 30-21 at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • New England is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New England is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
  • New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games on the road
  • Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
  • Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New England home to Tennessee, Sunday, December 20th
Houston at Indianapolis, Sunday, December 20th