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Broncos Look to Continue Post-Bye Week Trend vs Pitiful Giants

We know the big storylines coming into the game — the Giants still haven’t won a game and, basically, any player on their roster who’s worthy of a starting spot on your fantasy roster is done for the season due to an injury. As a result, the Giants are a double-digit underdog for the first time since Super Bowl XLII. The big betting story of this game, however, has to do with the Broncos, who have been an incredible bet following their bye week.

Shark Bites
  • The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games at home in October.
  • The Giants are 2-12 SU and 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • The Giants are 3-14 SU in their last 17 games as underdog.

Perhaps the most eye-popping trend this week is that Denver is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games following their bye week. Overall, they’re 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a bye. That is a big money betting stat, and even as a big favorite, they should have a good shot at extending the trend vs a broken-down Giants team that can’t run the ball. The Giants rank 30th in rushing yards per game, which is a colossal issue with Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall done for the season.

If you want to back the Broncos and are concerned about the big spread — don’t be. Going back to the beginning of last season, Denver has seven double-digit victories.

With a total of 40 points, it’s fair to assume that the Broncos will have to be responsible for the majority of those points for it to go OVER. The Giants are averaging just 16.4 points per game this season, while the Broncos are playing their typical stingy defense, allowing just 18.5 points per game. The teams have combined to post a 6-3 OVER/UNDER record this season.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds at sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Denver Broncos pegged as 9-point favorites in this betting matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 41.

NFL prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 34-8 result in favor of the Broncos earlier in the week. Watch matchup reports and the picks page for any changes, due to injuries or suspensions this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New York Giants vs Denver Broncos Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Denver Broncos currently sport a record of 3-1, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 2-1-1 ATS. The New York Giants are 0-5 and 2-3 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Denver Broncos post a 3-1 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the New York Giants have gone 3-2 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Denver vs New York injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 14-rated Denver Broncos and the No. 21-rated New York Giants in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Denver Broncos' No. 11-ranked offense (24.5 PPG) against a New York Giants defense that ranks No. 24 at 24.4 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 198.25 yards per game, less than the Giants give up through the air (224.8 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Giants own the league's No. 28-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 144.33 yards per game when on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Eli Manning passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game, but it wasn't enough to overcome the Chargers, who won 27-22 on Sunday.

The Broncos grabbed a Week 4 victory over the Raiders in their last game, winning 16-10 at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

Betting Trends
  • NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants' last 6 games
  • NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
  • Denver is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
  • Denver is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New York home to Seattle, Sunday, October 22
Denver at Los Angeles, Sunday, October 22