If you have been an NFL bettor profiting from betting OVER in every New York Jets road game and betting OVER in every Denver Broncos home game, you only have to focus on one bet in Week 11.
The Jets visit the Broncos Thursday night and the trend will be OVER the total again. The Jets are 14-2 past 16 road games favoring the OVER while the OVER is 12-2 in Denver's past 14 games at home.
The Broncos come off a win but have struggled against the spread at home, going just 3-8 ATS in their past 11 in Denver.
View NY Jets vs Denver Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Sportsbooks have set the Broncos as 5-point underdogs on the Sportsbook line for this contest. The total is listed at 42.5 over at Sportsbook as of Tuesday afternoon.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Broncos sit at No. 25 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Jets are at No. 18 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Jets will win this game 25-18.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Denver's No. 20-ranked offense, averaging 20.9 PPG, against a Jets defense that ranks No. 16 this week at 22.2 PPG. The Broncos aerial game is averaging 159.9 yards per game, less than the Jets secondary allows through the air, 210.8 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Jets own the league's No. 28-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 148.5 yards per game when on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 9 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Jets were a 37-16 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Patriots. They failed to cover the 1–point spread as favorites, while the total score (53) made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors. Mark Sanchez's 306-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as New England earned a 37-16 win over New York on Sunday at MetLife Stadium.
Last time out for Denver, they were a 17-10 Sportsbook as they battled the Chiefs on the road. The Broncos covered in the match as a 3.5-point underdog, while 27 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Broncos were Week 10 Sportsbooks, coming out on top of the Chiefs by a score of 17-10.
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7
A few Jets at Broncos trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 14 of the NY Jets last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the NY Jets last 15 games
NY Jets are 14-7 SU in their last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Denver is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games
Next up:
NY Jets home to Buffalo, Sunday, November 27
Denver at San Diego, Sunday, November 27
