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NFL Matchup - Patriots Bills Odds Preview

Buffalo BillsNew England Patriots
6-9December 29, 2013, 04:25 | Gillette Stadium11-4

The New England Patriots have already won the AFC East; only their seeding for the upcoming playoffs remains to be decided.

New England owns the two seed at the moment, and while it still has a shot at the No. 1 seed, it could also fall to the No. 4 spot.

Sunday the Patriots conclude their regular season when they host a team they've dominated recently, the divisional-rivals Buffalo Bills.

New England just came up with a big effort Sunday in Baltimore, routing the Ravens 41-7. That cover broke a three-game ATS losing streak for the Pats.

Buffalo, on the other hand, has won and covered two games in a row, after shutting out Miami Sunday 19-0.

In the early betting New England, which has won 19 of the last 20 meetings in this old AFL rivalry, was favored by 10 points for Sunday's game at BetOnline.

Other trends of note include the Bills are 2-24 SU past 26 games vs Patriots; the OVER is 5-1 past six meetings at Foxboro; Bills are 1-7 ATS past eight games as road underdog; Bills are 7-2 ATS past nine divisional games; UNDER is 6-1 past seven Patriots divisional games; OVER is 15-2 past 17 Buffalo season-ending games; Patriots 12-2 ATS past 14 regular season finales; Patriots OVER is 10-1 past 11 Week 17 games.

The Patriots are 11-4 so far on the season, and 7-8 ATS vs. the number. The Bills, meanwhile, are 6-9 and 8-7 ATS. Over under bettors have seen New England go 8-7 and the Bills go 9-6 on the totals.

View Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Odds and Stats.

The Bills were listed as 8.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as TopBet, with the total listed at 47.

The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 18-rated Bills taking on the No. 7-rated Patriots in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 27-19 win for the Patriots on Sunday.

The Bills were a 19-0 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Dolphins. They covered the 1-point spread as favorites, while the total score (19) made winners of UNDER bettors.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits New England's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 27.33 PPG, against a Bills defense that ranks No. 15 this week at 23.6 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 264.8 yards per game, more than the Bills secondary allows through the air, 210.4 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Bills feature the league's No. 28-rated road run defense, allowing 132.86 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 11 in rushing offense at home.

A few Bills at Patriots trends to consider:
Buffalo is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing New England
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Buffalo home to , Wednesday, December 31st
New England home to , Wednesday, December 31st