New England hits the road for Oakland a week after their epic collapse at Buffalo where the Bills rallied from 21-0 down.
The Patriots came to town three years ago and walloped the Raiders 49-26, but these Raiders are 3-0 ATS on the year.
Again, the total may be the pick with the most supporting trends as the Pats are 6-1 ATS in their past 7 road games and the Raiders have played OVER in 5 straight at home.
View New England vs Oakland Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had the Raiders pegged as 4-point underdogs in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by the books at 52. [ Best dog and under lines were both at Sportsbook earlier in the week, check it out. ]
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Raiders at No. 21 and the Patriots at No. 5 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 38-33 result in favor of the Patriots.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oakland's No. 6-ranked offense, averaging 30.7 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 27 this week at 26.3 PPG. The Raiders aerial game is averaging 190.3 yards per game, less than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 377 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Patriots feature the league's No. 7-rated road run defense, allowing 88.5 yards per game. Oakland, meanwhile, ranks No. 1 in rushing offense at home.
New England was a 34-31 loser in its last match on the road against the Bills. They failed to cover the 7–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 65 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Last time out, Tom Brady threw for 4 scores and 387 yards in a failed effort to defeat Buffalo at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
The Raiders were a 34-24 Sportsbook in their most recent outing at home against the Jets. They covered the 2.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (58) made Sportsbooks of OVER bettors. Darren McFadden ran through the New York defense for 171 yards in Oakland's last game, handing the Jets a 34-24 setback on Sunday at O.co Coliseum.
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 9-1
Oakland Raiders Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 2-8
A few Patriots at Raiders trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Next up:
New England home to NY Jets, Sunday, October 9
Oakland at Houston, Sunday, October 9
