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Steelers looking to lay the smack down vs Colts

Head coach Chuck Pagano gets to keep his job for another week. That may be the only sliver of hope for the Indianapolis Colts after they snuck past the depleted Houston Texans in Week 9. What Indianapolis may find out in Week 10, though, is the Pittsburgh Steelers are not the Texans. The Colts opened as double-digit dogs at home and will be in tough to take down Steel City, 6-2 SU this season and aiming for a fourth straight win.

  • Pittsburgh is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games against Indianapolis.
  • The Colts are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as home underdogs.
  • Le’Veon Bell leads the NFL with 194 carries.

While the Steelers have been known to drop some games to subpar competition (ahem ... Bears and Jaguars), they’ve come through when it’s mattered. Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU on the road this season and has shown what they’re capable of when they allow running back Le’Veon Bell to dominate the offensive snaps. In Pittsburgh losses, Bell only manages 15 rushing attempts whereas in Pittsburgh wins this season, he averages a bruising 27 carries per game. Obviously, the Steelers will try to limit Bell’s carries so he can be fresh for a playoff run but for now, expect a full serving of the running back against the Colts, who allow just under 114 rush yards per game.

The only saving grace for Colts backers is the Steelers haven’t been a strong bet to cover in this situation. Going back to 1993, the Steelers are 1-10 ATS as a double-digit favorite on the road. And coincidentally, the last time the Colts were a double-digit dog at home, it was against the Steelers in 2011. Also, in Colts losses this season, they’ve lost by an average of 18 points in six games.

The total opened at 44 and the UNDER may need some serious consideration. The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Steelers’ last eight games with those games averaging 37.25 points. The Colts, on the other hand, only average 18 points per game this season and the UNDER has hit in seven of their last nine games at home. One final alarming stat is that the last 10 games the Steelers have been double-digit faves, the UNDER has hit in all 10. 

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers in this one found them as 9.5-point favorites earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 43 at shops such as Bovada.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 31-13 victory for the Steelers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Pittsburgh Steelers will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 5-3 versus the spread this season, while the Indianapolis Colts are 5-4 ATS. Pittsburgh is 1-7 against the OVER/UNDER total, while Indianapolis is 6-3 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

The Colts sit at No. 32 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Steelers are at No. 10 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Indianapolis's No. 25-ranked offense, averaging 18 PPG, against a Steelers defense that ranks No. 2 this week at 16.38 PPG. The Colts aerial game is averaging 205.89 yards per game, more than the Steelers secondary allows through the air, 180 YPG per game.

Defensively, the  Steelers feature the league's No. 5-rated road run defense, allowing 91.6 yards per game. The Colts, meanwhile, rank No. 19 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Ben Roethlisberger led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 317 yards Sunday as the Steelers downed the Lions 20-15 at Ford Field.

Jacoby Brissett threw for 308 yards Sunday as the Colts downed the Texans 20-14 at NRG Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Pittsburgh is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
  • Pittsburgh is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
  • Indianapolis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Pittsburgh
  • Indianapolis is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Pittsburgh
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
  • Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh home to Tennessee, Thursday, November 16th
Indianapolis home to Tennessee, Sunday, November 26th