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No Luck Equals Big Break for Steelers

After Pittsburgh originally opened as a three-point favorite — a line that had many Colts backers eager to place a bet — news broke that Andrew Luck was highly unlikely to play due to being in concussion protocol, forcing oddsmakers to bump the line up to nine points. With Scott Tolzien set to fill in for Luck, the Steelers are now set up to run away with this game, something they have plenty of experience doing as they’ve blown out the Colts in each of the last two seasons.

Shark Bites
  • The Steelers are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the AFC South division.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Steelers' last four games against the Colts.
  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 300 or more yards in his last three games against the Colts.

Pittsburgh has won 13 of the last 15 games against the Colts and outscored them 96-44 in the last two games between the teams. The Steelers have been a team to fade recently, especially as road favorites as they’ve gone just 1-3 ATS in their last four games in that spot. However, with Tolzien calling the shots for the Colts, points might be hard to come by for Indy. Tolzien has appeared in just six games in his career and has passed for one TD and five picks.

If you think the Steelers are being overvalued, one trend you can hang your hat on is the Colts’ 11-1 ATS record in their last 12 games as a home underdog. To keep things close, they’ll need a better performance from a defense that’s allowing a league-worst 326.4 passing yards at home.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to side with the Indianapolis Colts in this one found them as 2.5-point underdogs earlier in the week at [custom bodog-link], while the total was sitting at 53.

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 25.6-22.4 result in favor of the Colts. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Indianapolis Colts sit at 5-5 (5-4-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Pittsburgh Steelers are currently 5-5 (5-5 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Indianapolis is 7-3 OU, and Pittsburgh is 3-7 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Indianapolis Colts at No. 24 and the Pittsburgh Steelers at No. 14 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Indianapolis's No. 7-ranked offense, averaging 26.3 PPG, against a Steelers defense that ranks No. 13 this week at 21.5 PPG. The Colts aerial game is averaging 260.8 yards per game, less than the Steelers secondary allows through the air, 267.9 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Pittsburgh Steelers feature the league's No. 7-rated road run defense, allowing 97 yards per game. The Indianapolis Colts, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Colts's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Andrew Luck as they handed Tennessee a 24-17 loss at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
  • Pittsburgh is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games
  • Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh home to New York, Sunday, December 4th
Indianapolis at New York, Monday, December 5th