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Can KC Carry Reid’s Post-Bye Week Success Over to Playoff?

No bet in sports is a lock — trust me, I've looked into it — but one that’s been pretty damn close is betting on Andy Reid-coached teams following a bye week. During his career as a head coach of the Eagles and Chiefs, Reid has gone 16-2 SU and 13-5 ATS after a bye during the regular season. Reid has also hit in this spot in the playoffs as his teams are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS after a first-round bye. In a game that features the weekend’s tightest spread, KC will attempt to avenge a regular season loss and add another W to Reid’s post-bye week record.

Shark Bites
  • The Steelers are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs are 1-9 SU and ATS in their last 10 games in the playoffs.
  • The Steelers have won six straight night games.

A hot topic leading up to the game will be the Steelers’ 43-14 dismantling of the Chiefs back in Week 4. The three-headed attack of Roethlisberger, Bell and Brown filled the stat sheet and had their way with the Kansas City defense, which was without its top pass rusher, Justin Houston. The four-time Pro Bowler and 2014 sacks leader is expected to be back in the lineup, meaning the Steelers offense will face a much stiffer test than the one the Dolphins provided in the wild-card round.

Pittsburgh is also riding a league-best eight-game winning streak coming into the game which includes four wins and covers on the road. The Chiefs are also on a bit of a surge coming into the playoffs with five wins in their last six games, but two big blemishes on their record are letdown losses at home to the Titans and Buccaneers. It can’t be dismissed, however, that KC answered the bell on numerous occasions this season, beating some of the league’s top competition — Raiders twice, Broncos twice, Falcons in Atlanta, as well as a big comeback win in Carolina where they erased a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter.

Looking at the total, which is hovering in the 44.5-point range, the trends point to this one going UNDER as Kansas City’s home OVER/UNDER record combined with Pittsburgh’s road OVER/UNDER record is 4-12. The teams have also gone UNDER in four of their last five games against each other.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds makers at Bovada had the Kansas City Chiefs as 0-point in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 46.5.

Odds Shark NFL prediction models pointed to a 26-24 result in favor of the Chiefs on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Kansas City Chiefs currently sport a record of 12-4, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 9-7 ATS. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 12-5 and 10-6-1 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Kansas City Chiefs post a 6-10 over under record this season, while the Pittsburgh Steelers have gone 6-11 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Kansas City vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

The Chiefs - Steelers odds would favor the Chiefs if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Kansas City is rated No. 3 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Steelers sit at No. 4.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Kansas City Chiefs No. 13-ranked offense (24.31 PPG) against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that ranks No. 9 at 19.94 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 233.75 yards per game, less than the Steelers give up through the air (243.24 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Pittsburgh Steelers own the league's No. 4-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 89.88 yards per game when on the road. Kansas City, on the other hand, rates No. 18 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Le'Veon Bell ran through the Miami defense for 167 yards in Pittsburgh's last game, handing the Dolphins a 30-12 setback on Sunday at Heinz Field.

Alex D. Smith passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game in leading the Chiefs past San Diego 37-27 on Sunday.

Betting Trends
  • Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Kansas City home to , Wednesday, December 31st