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Dolphins Have Been Fish Out of Water When Playing Winning Teams

The Dolphins will crash into the Steel Curtain on Sunday as they take on the 4-1 Steelers in Miami in Week 6 NFL action. These teams have won – and lost – emphatically, as Pittsburgh is 4-1 straight up and against the spread while Miami is 1-4 both straight up and against the spread.

  • The Steelers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games on the road after a loss on the road.
  • The Dolphins are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against teams with winning records.
  • The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.5 or more.

Le’Veon Bell was a shot in the arm for a Steelers offense that really didn’t even need it. Since returning from suspension, Bell has produced 332 yards of offense on just 38 carries and 14 catches. Pittsburgh’s average points per game has increased from 21.67 to 37 since Bell returned and that average could be on the rise this week as the Steelers go up against Miami’s league-worst rush defense.

Trends aren’t favoring the Fish heading into this one as Miami is just 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games as an underdog of 7.5 or more and has dropped five of the last six matchups against the Steelers. These teams, however, have not met since 2013, in a game the Dolphins actually won.

It’s looking better and better for Pittsburgh in the AFC North with the Bengals playing terribly and it’s teams like this that the Steelers will need to bury if they want home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

The total has gone UNDER in six of the Steelers’ last eight games as favorites of 7.5 or more and the total has also gone UNDER in four of the Dolphins’ last five games as the underdog. The total is floating in the high 40s and the computer is projecting a 26-18 Steelers win – a final score that would go well UNDER.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Pittsburgh Steelers listed as -6.5-point favorites at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the betting matchup was at 48 over at 5Dimes.

Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 26-18 win for the Steelers on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Pittsburgh Steelers will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 4-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Miami Dolphins are 1-4 ATS. Pittsburgh is 2-3 against the over under total, while Miami is 3-2 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

The game pits the Miami Dolphins, currently No. 28 in our Odds Shark NFL Power Rankings, against the Pittsburgh Steelers, who rate No. 2 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Miami Dolphins No. 28-ranked offense (17.6 PPG) against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that ranks No. 9 at 18.6 PPG. The Dolphins passing attack has averaged 233.4 yards per game, less than the Steelers give up through the air (302 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Pittsburgh Steelers feature the league's No. 9-rated road run defense, allowing 90 yards per game. The Miami Dolphins, meanwhile, ranks No. 26 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Steelers got 4 passing scores out of Ben Roethlisberger en route to a 31-13 win over the Jets on Sunday at Heinz Field.

The Dolphins suffered a Week 5 loss against Tennessee in their last game, falling 30-17 at Hard Rock Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
  • Pittsburgh is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Miami is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh home to New England, Sunday, October 23rd
Miami home to Buffalo, Sunday, October 23rd