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2020 Presidential Odds: Trump Remains at an All-Time High

2020 Presidential Odds

With each passing day ahead of the 2020 United States presidental election, Donald Trump’s odds to spend another four years in the White House continue to improve. 

At Bovada, Trump is now the -170 favorite to win the election – an all-time high. Trump was -150 on February 5 and -135 on January 29. The odds of the Republicans winning the election are sitting at -180, with the Democrats coming back as +135 underdogs.

In the Democratic New Hampshire primary on February 11, Senator Bernie Sanders narrowly beat out Pete Buttigieg. Sanders, who led the polls going into the vote, solidified his status as the national front-runner with the triumph. 

Now, the race shifts to Nevada and then South Carolina. In light of the results in New Hampshire, Andrew Yang dropped out of the running. Yang was +2600 to become president a week ago. For more odds to win the 2020 Democratic nomination, we have you covered.

2020 U.S. Presidential Election Odds Tracker

Please check our updated 2020 election odds tracker from Bovada that shows how the presidential favorites’ chances to win have changed over the past month.

2020 Presidential Election Odds Tracker
CandidateJan. 7Jan. 14Jan. 21Jan. 29Feb. 4/Feb. 5Feb. 16
Donald Trump-115-145-140-135-140 / -150-170
Bernie Sanders+700+500+500+350+350 / +425+375
Michael Bloomberg+1600+1200+1200+1000+1000 / +750+500
Pete Buttigieg+1600+2200+2200+2800+2000 / +1300+2000
Joe Biden+400+550+450+550+600 / +850+1600
Amy Klobuchar+6000+6000+7500+10000+10000 / +10000+5000
Hillary Clinton+4000+4000+5000+5000+5000 / +5000+6600
Elizabeth Warren+1600+1800+1800+2500+3000 / +3000+10000
Mike Pence+8000+8000+12500+12500+12500 / +12500+15000
Nikki Haley+10000+10000+15000+15000+15000 / +15000+20000
Tulsi Gabbard+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000 / +15000+30000

Odds as of February 16 at Bovada

Confused about the odds?

Check out our How to Bet on the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election article

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The 2020 Election: Three Things to Know

1) Trump’s Senate Acquittal

As expected, President Trump was acquitted in his Senate impeachment trial last Wednesday.

2) Trump’s Approval Rating

According to a Gallup poll conducted between January 16 and January 29, Trump’s approval rating improved to a first-term high of 49 percent. Among Republicans, his approval rating hit 94 percent. Among Democrats, it’s seven percent, down from 10 percent the last time.

3) Bloomberg Watch

Because Joe Biden failed to perform well in Iowa, Michael Bloomberg’s campaign may double down and begin to invest millions of dollars more to ride a wave of momentum on into Super Tuesday – when the largest number of states and territories hold a presidential preference primary or caucus – on March 3. This slip by Biden is what Bloomberg needed to help amplify his moderate campaign message and policies.

Trump’s Head-to-Head Odds

With the Democratic field shrinking, BetOnline bookmakers have started to hone in on the favorites to challenge Trump in the upcoming election.

Michael Bloomberg has the best chance to beat Trump head-to-head at -125 for Bloomberg and +105 for Trump. Bernie Sanders recently became the underdog to beat Trump head-to-head following the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary. Former vice-president Joe Biden, Amy Klobuchar and Buttigieg vs Trump are all in plus money.

Who Will Win the 2020 Election?
OptionOdds
Donald Trump-160
Field+160

Odds as of February 16 at BetOnline

Who Will Win the 2020 Election?
OptionOdds
Donald Trump-125
Bernie Sanders+105

Matchup must occur for action. Odds as of February 16 at BetOnline

Who Will Win the 2020 Election?
OptionOdds
Donald Trump+105
Michael Bloomberg-125

Matchup must occur for action. Odds as of February 16 at BetOnline

Who Will Win the 2020 Election?
OptionOdds
Donald Trump-125
Pete Buttigieg+105

Matchup must occur for action. Odds as of February 16 at BetOnline

Who Will Win the 2020 Election?
OptionOdds
Donald Trump-200
Joe Biden+170

Matchup must occur for action. Odds as of February 16 at BetOnline

Who Will Win the 2020 Election?
OptionOdds
Donald Trump-160
Amy Klobuchar+140

Matchup must occur for action. Odds as of February 16 at BetOnline

Popular Vote vs Electoral College Vote Odds

While President Trump won the 2016 electoral college vote in a landslide, 304-227, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly three million votes.

This time two weeks ago, Trump was +145 to win the popular vote, or 40.82 percent implied probability, but as of February 13, that number has moved all the way to jump the fence at -160.

“The field,” aka the likely Democratic nominee, is now the underdog to win the popular vote at +140 odds. That's a major shift considering the Dems were the -210 chalk on February 5. 

Odds to Win 2020 Presidential Popular Vote
OptionVote SpreadJan. 21Jan. 29Feb. 5Feb. 13
Donald TrumpTBA+200+145+175-160
The FieldTBA-240-165-210+140

Odds as of February 16 at BetOnline

Which Party will Win the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election?
PartyOdds
Democratic Party+135
Republican Party-180

Odds as of February 16 at Bovada

Here are the updated odds to win the 2020 election from Bovada.

Odds to win the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election
OptionOdds
Donald Trump-170
Bernie Sanders+375
Michael Bloomberg+500
Joe Biden+1600
Pete Buttigieg+2000
Amy Klobuchar+5000
Hillary Clinton+6600
Elizabeth Warren+10000
Mike Pence+15000
Nikki Haley+20000
Tulsi Gabbard+30000

Odds as of February 16 at Bovada