Manel Kape is a -400 favorite over Felipe dos Santos at UFC 293.

Kape vs dos Santos Odds & Picks: A Rude Introduction At UFC 293

Flyweight contender Manel Kape fights UFC rookie Felipe dos Santos this Saturday at UFC 293. 

Israel Adesanya and Sean Strickland highlight the main card in Sydney, Australia, while Tai Tuivasa and Alexander Volkov hold down the co-main slot.

Kape, who was slated to fight Kai Kara-France before an injury, is now a -400 favorite over the Brazilian dos Santos. 

Manel Kape vs Felipe dos santos Betting Odds

kape vs dos santos Odds
Manel Kape-400
Felipe dos Santos+300

Odds as of September 8

Per our odds calculator, Kape's -400 status awards him an 80% implied chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $125. At +300, dos Santos owns a 25% chance and a $100 bet cashes $400. 

Kape vs dos Santos Betting Preview

The odds reflect exactly what this fight is: a top contender fighting a UFC newbie. dos Santos will be in trouble.

How To Bet dos Santos

Not much is known about dos Santos. The 22-year-old was originally scheduled to fight on Dana White's Contender Series before that fight got nixed. Now he'll be thrust into a massive spotlight on a UFC pay-per-view.

"Lipe Detona" trains with Chute Boxe in Brazil, home of former UFC lightweight champ Charles Oliveira, so it's not unreasonable to draw similarities. I imagine he's got some chaotic spirit to him, but Kape is a warrior in his own right.

Honestly, I just don't know enough about dos Santos. I've watched a bit of tape — the kid is lean, quick, and strong off his back — but I'm steering clear.

How To Bet Kape

"Starboy" is compact, powerful, and capable of a dynamic knockout while also possessing the cardio to secure a decision win.

Against a UFC newcomer, I'll be betting Kape to win inside the distance. As I said, dos Santos is creative and comfortable in the cage, but he's way too lean to withstand even 15 minutes of Kape's punishment. 

Kape vs dos Santos Betting Pick

I like Kape to win inside the distance, a bet that leaves open the possibility of a scramble submission. If that's not enough value, I'd look to parlay it with the UNDER 2.5 rounds (-175). 

Pick: Kape to win inside the distance (-150); UNDER 2.5 rounds (-170)

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