Tony Ferguson fans, it's your turn to get back in the barrel.
"El Cucuy" is on a whopping six-fight UFC losing streak, and he'll look to avoid number seven when he faces Paddy Pimblett at UFC 296 on Dec. 16.
The odds aren't in Tony's favor, though. Pimblett is a -334 favorite over Ferguson, who comes in as a +250 underdog.
Tony Ferguson vs Paddy Pimblett Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tony Ferguson | -334 |
| Paddy Pimblett | +250 |
Odds as of Dec. 11
Our odds calculator suggests Pimblett's -334 odds imply a 76.96% chance of winning, and a $100 bet on him pays out $129.94. Ferguson's +250 underdog odds imply a 28.57% win probability, and a $100 bet on him pays out $350.
How To Watch UFC 296: Edwards vs Covington
- Date/Time: December 16, 6 p.m ET
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: T-Mobile Arena
- Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV
Ferguson vs Pimblett Odds & Betting Preview
Tony Ferguson is going through a “hell week” with former Navy SEAL David Goggins right now.
— Spinnin Backfist (@SpinninBackfist) November 7, 2023
We are about 5 weeks away from his fight with Paddy The Baddy.
Goggins helped Jon Jones during his camp leading up to his fight against Gane. pic.twitter.com/Q9DGmtcojO
Ahead of this fight vs Pimblett, Ferguson has been training with renowned endurance David Goggins. Will it make a difference? Let's see.
Ferguson vs Pimblett: Betting Strategy
Tony's awkward style will be his greatest strength against Pimblett, a grapple-first Englishman with a flare for the dramatic. Ferguson might not have the power or the heart he once had, but the first five minutes, assuming he stays upright, will be very big.
Pimblett has a lot to prove after a weak performance last year vs Jared Gordon. I imagine he'll come out quickly and find an avenue to a favorable grappling position. From there, it could easily be lights out.
Ferguson vs Pimblett Betting Pick
Several factors are pushing me toward an underdog bet on Tony, including the favorable odds and overall uncertainty about Pimblett's well-roundedness. Still, when someone shows you who they are, believe them.
Ferguson has lost six straight, including the last by submission. Bet on Paddy to win by submission.
