Jailton Almeida is favored vs Derrick Lewis

Almeida vs Lewis Odds & Picks: Many Props To Plunder At UFC Brazil

UFC heads to Brazil this Saturday for a Fight Night event highlighted by heavyweights Jailton Almeida and Derrick Lewis.

The prelims begin at 6 p.m. ET, and the main card kicks off at 10 p.m.

Unsurprisingly, Almeida (-500) is a heavy favorite over the veteran Lewis (+380).

Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis Odds

Almeida vs Lewis Odds
Jailton Almeida-500
Derrick Lewis+380

Odds as of Nov. 3

Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on Almeida's -500 odds (83.33% implied chance) pays out $120. The same $100 on Lewis at +380 (20.83% implied chance) pays out $480.

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Lewis

  • Date/Time: November 4, 6 p.m. ET
  • Location: Sao Paulo, Brazil
  • Arena: Ginasio do Ibirapuera
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, Cable Provider

How To Bet Almeida vs Lewis

Lewis has zero chance of winning this fight. Zero. Chance. Kapiche? Do not bet on him. He will lose. If "The Black Beast" wins, I'll shave my head, book a one-way flight to Tibet, and practice Buddhism until the end of my days.

In all seriousness, I'm looking at Almeida to win in Round 1. We'll know more once the props odds come out, but "Malhadinho" is a freight train without brakes, and I'm certain Lewis won't stop him.

Almeida is more agile than Lewis and far more experienced on the ground, where his speed and ferocity play larger. The Brazilian will score a takedown within the first two minutes before ending it with a TKO or SUB.

For perspective, Almeida's five UFC wins have all come via stoppage (3 SUB, 2 KO) and he's only taken a bout to the second round once.

Almeida vs Lewis Betting Pick

Bets I love for this fight:

  • Almeida in Round 1 (-130)
  • Almeida by submission (-125)
  • Almeida by submission in Round 1 (+170)

You can see a theme here. Pick any of those bets on Almeida and you're good to go.

Pick: Almeida in Round 1 (-130); Value pick Almeida by submission in round 1 (+170)

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