UFC heads to Brazil this Saturday for a Fight Night event highlighted by heavyweights Jailton Almeida and Derrick Lewis.
The prelims begin at 6 p.m. ET, and the main card kicks off at 10 p.m.
Unsurprisingly, Almeida (-500) is a heavy favorite over the veteran Lewis (+380).
Jailton Almeida vs Derrick Lewis Odds
Odds as of Nov. 3
How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Lewis
How To Bet Almeida vs Lewis
Lewis has zero chance of winning this fight. Zero. Chance. Kapiche? Do not bet on him. He will lose. If "The Black Beast" wins, I'll shave my head, book a one-way flight to Tibet, and practice Buddhism until the end of my days.
In all seriousness, I'm looking at Almeida to win in Round 1. We'll know more once the props odds come out, but "Malhadinho" is a freight train without brakes, and I'm certain Lewis won't stop him.
Almeida is more agile than Lewis and far more experienced on the ground, where his speed and ferocity play larger. The Brazilian will score a takedown within the first two minutes before ending it with a TKO or SUB.
For perspective, Almeida's five UFC wins have all come via stoppage (3 SUB, 2 KO) and he's only taken a bout to the second round once.
Almeida vs Lewis Betting Pick
Bets I love for this fight:
You can see a theme here. Pick any of those bets on Almeida and you're good to go.