There's a reason folks are calling this "The People's Main Event."
Madalena, the hard-hitting Aussie, is a -130 favorite vs Holland (+110).
Jack della Maddalena vs Kevin Holland Odds
|Jack Della Maddalena||-130|
Odds as of Sept. 11
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Jack Della Maddalena vs Kevin Holland Tale Of The Tape
|Fighter||Kevin Holland||Jack Della Maddalena|
|Record||25-9 (12-6 UFC)||15-2 (5-0 UFC)|
|Avg. Fight Time||10:52||6:51|
|Sig. Strikes Per Minute||4.11||7.27|
|Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute||2.96||3.50|
|Takedowns Per 15 Minutes||0.83||0.36|
Della Maddalena vs Holland Betting Preview
This line makes me suspicious, so I've got a clear betting gameplan.
How To Bet This Fight
JDM is a talented prospect, and I'm still bullish on his chances at becoming a future champion, but he should not be favored against a fighter of Holland's caliber. "Trailblazer" has tangled with far better opponents than Della Maddalena, including his last foe, Michael Chiesa, whom he submitted in Round 1.
I'll be hammering Holland straight-up at +110. Either way, this fight should be a war. And in that situation, it's still always better to lean underdog.
For props, I'll be looking at Holland to win by decision, though I don't hate a very small sprinkle on Holland by submission. JDM looked super beatable on the ground in his last fight vs late-notice replacement Bassil Hafez, and Holland owns three submission wins.
Della Maddalena vs Holland Betting Pick
I'll be betting Holland to win and the OVER 2.5 rounds, depending on how the odds shake out. I'll also dabble in Holland to win by submission.