Mackenzie Dern (top) is favored in the Dern vs Hill odds

Dern vs Hill Odds & Pick: Grappling The Only Route To Entertainment

This isn't the best UFC headliner in the world (in fact, it's far from it), but fans will witness a women's strawweight fight between Mackenzie Dern and Angela Hill.

The five-round main event takes place May 20 at the Apex in Las Vegas, where prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET and the main card starts at 8 p.m. Dern is the -175 favorite in the main event.

The co-main event for this fight is Edmen Shahbazyan vs Anthony Hernandez.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill Betting Odds

Dern vs Hill Odds
Mackenzie Dern-175
Angela Hill+150

Odds as of May 15

According to our odds calculator, Dern's -175 status gives her an implied win probability of 63.64% and a $100 bet on her pays $157.14. Hill's +150 status implied a 40% win percentage, with a $100 bet paying out $250.

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill

Apparently, people are watching this fight? Well, here's how to do it. 

  • Date/Time: May 20, 4 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+, Cable Provider

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill Full Card & Betting Odds

Here's Saturday's lineup at the Apex.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill Fight Card Odds
  • Main Card
  • Women's Strawweight Main Event – Mackenzie Dern (-175) vs Angela Hill (+150)
  • Middleweight – Edmen Shahbazyan (+187) vs Anthony Hernandez (-225)
  • Women's Catchweight (120 lbs) – Lupita Godinez (-160) vs Emily Ducote (+130)
  • Welterweight – Andre Fialho (+187) vs Joaquin Buckley (-225)
  • Lightweight – Michael Johnson (+130) vs Diego Ferreira (-160)
  • Prelims
  • Lightweight – Maheshate (+140) vs Viacheslav Borshchev (-170)
  • Women's Strawweight – Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-138) vs Vanessa Demopoulos (+110)
  • Welterweight – Orion Cosce (-125) vs Gilbert Urbina (+100)
  • Heavyweight – Ilir Latifi (+162) vs Rodrigo Nascimento (-188)
  • Lightweight – Chase Hooper (+110) vs Nick Fiore (-138)
  • Women's flyweight – Victoria Leonardo (+600) vs Natalia Silva (-1000)
  • Welterweight – Takashi Soto (+100) vs Themba Gorimbo (-125)

Odds as of May 19

Dern vs Hill Tale Of The Tape

FighterMackenzie DernAngela Hill
Record12-3 (6-3 as favorite)15-12 (2-7 as underdog)
Avg. Fight Time12:2214:02
Sig. Strikes Per Minute3.025.68
Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute4.394.97
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes0.610.58
Takedown Accuracy11%29%
Takedown Defense40%77%

Dern vs Hill Preview: Who Will Win?

Let's break down this battle between two female UFC veterans. 

How Dern Wins

Dern's foray to victory comes from her jiu-jitsu background. The Brazilian is by far the better grappler, but she needs to drag this fight to the mat before Hill can rack up any damage on the feet.

Once this bout hits the canvas, it's a wrap for Dern, but she might have a little trouble getting there. In true BJJ fashion, Dern prefers to accept back position instead of gunning for takedowns (which she has landed at just 11% in her UFC career). Her greatest challenge in this fight will be to find ways to use her jiu-jitsu creatively. 

How Hill Wins

"Overkill" is not a good fighter, but she's squeaked out two underdog wins in her last bouts vs Emily Ducote (+105) and Lupita Godinez (+280). The American is quick but hits very softly, which guarantees any victory on her end will come by decision. 

The longer this fight goes, the better it is for Hill. But if she wants to win, she'll need to fend off submission attempts. The 38-year-old has two UFC losses by submission, and there's no doubt Dern will look to tap her out Saturday.

Dern vs Hill Pick

The only way this fight becomes interesting is if Dern cranks up the jiu-jitsu and rolls Hill into something interesting. With entertainment on my mind, I'll bet Dern to win by submission

Pick: Dern to win by submission (+175)

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