Vincente Luque (left) is the underdog vs Rafael dos Anjos

Luque vs dos Anjos Odds & Picks: Bet The Silent Assassin As An Underdog

Need a UFC Fight Night main event? Pit two fan-favorite, hard-hitting veterans against each other. The recipe never changes.

The beat goes on this Saturday at the UFC Apex, where experienced welterweights Rafael dos Anjos and Vicente Luque headline the show. Their five rounds of fisticuffs will be preceded by a fiery featherweight affair between Hakeem Dawodu and Cub Swanson.

In the main event, dos Anjos is a narrow -120 favorite.

Rafael dos Anjos vs Vicente Luque Odds

Dos anjos vs luque Odds
Rafael dos Anjos-120
Vicente LuqueEVEN

Odds as of August 11

Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on dos Anjos' -120 odds (54.55% implied chance) pays out $183.33. The same $100 on Luque at EVEN odds (50% implied chance) pays out $200.

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Luque vs dos Anjos

Here's how you can watch Saturday's card.

  • Date/Time: August 12, 4 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, Cable Provider

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs dos Anjos Full Card & Betting Odds

Here's Saturday's lineup in Sin City.

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs Dos Anjos Fight Card Odds
  • Main Card
  • Welterweight Main Event – Vicente Luque (EVEN) vs Rafael dos Anjos (-120)
  • Featherweight – Hakeem Dawodu (-225) vs Cub Swanson (+187)
  • Light Heavyweight – Khalil Rountree (-195) vs Chris Daukaus (+160)
  • Women's Strawweight – Polyana Viana (+160) vs Iasmin Lucindo (-195)
  • Middleweight – Tafon Nchukwi (-140) vs AJ Dobson (+115)
  • Middleweight – Josh Fremd (-325) vs Jamie Pickett (+260)
  • Prelims
  • Bantamweight – Marcus McGhee (-375) vs JP Buys (+290)
  • Lightweight – Terrance McKinney (TBD) vs Mike Breeden (TBD)
  • Featherweight – Francis Marshall (-165) vs Isaac Dulgarian (+140)
  • Heavyweight – Josh Parisian (+180) vs Martin Buday (-220)
  • Women's Strawweight – Jaqueline Amorim (-250) vs Montserrat Ruiz (+200)
  • Women's Flyweight – Julianna Miller (+120) vs Luana Santos (-145)

Odds as of August 8

Vicente Luque vs Rafael Dos Anjos Tale Of The Tape

FighterVicente LuqueRafael dos Anjos
Record21-9-1 (14-5 UFC)32-14 (21-12 UFC)
Avg. Fight Time9:2014:36
Sig. Strikes Per Minute5.493.56
Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute5.513.21
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes0.512.05
Takedown Accuracy50%35%
Takedown Defense61%59%

Luque vs dos Anjos Betting Preview: Who Will Wins

Here are the best bets I see for this matchup.

How To Bet Dos Anjos

RDA deserves consideration for the UFC Hall of Fame, but it's no secret that at 38 years old his sand timer is almost empty. But he's still a vivacious fighter and, based on his resume alone, he's a deserving favorite over Luque.

If I'm betting RDA in this fight, it'll be by decision (TBD) or a same-game parlay on dos Anjos + the OVER 3.5 rounds, for example. dos Anjos is innovative and still quick, but most of his gameplan Saturday ought to focus on establishing positions where Luque can't hit him.

Luque is much more dangerous than RDA due to his solid ground game and thunderous hands. That said, the 33-fight UFC veteran is slick and he could rack up points (and control time via takedowns) to secure a win.

How to bet Luque

Luque has more avenues to victory Saturday. Even at 38 years old, RDA's chin is strong — he's only been stopped in four of 33 UFC fights. But "The Silent Assassin" is easy to bet on, as 13 of his 14 UFC wins have come inside the distance.

From a betting standpoint, that means if you like Luque, bet him inside the distance — that's a wager I like this weekend. The Brazilian hits so, so hard, and he's well-versed in jiu-jitsu (he earned his black belt in 2021), which might not allow him to submit RDA, but it'll keep him alive on the mat.

If you fancy Luque, take him to win inside the distance.

Vicente Luque vs Rafael Dos Anjos Pick

I like Luque as a straight-up underdog at EVEN odds, but as I laid out, I'd rather back him to win inside the distance. That'll jack up the value and add a little flavor to your Saturday UFC viewing.

As an aside, I also like this fight to finish UNDER 3.5 rounds (-120).

Pick: Luque Inside the distance (+165); UNDER 3.5 Rounds (-120)