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Odds of Trump Impeachment: Has He Finally Put(in) Himself in an Inescapable Situation?

US President Donald Trump (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin arrive to attend a joint press conference after a meeting at the Presidential Palace in Helsinki, on July 16, 2018.

After weekend summits in Belgium and Finland, Democrats and even some Republicans are wondering how and if Donald Trump can avoid impeachment from the House of Representatives during his first term as president of the United States.

For the first time since Trump’s election, odds for his impeachment during his first term are -200 at Bovada. In the eyes of oddsmakers, the odds are better than not that Trump won’t see the end of his first term.

It’s Getting Hard to Ignore the Realities

Political commentators of both stripes in the U.S. are condemning what they view as Trump capitulating to Russian autocrat Vladimir Putin while at the same time appearing to put his trust in the word of Russia’s president instead of the U.S. intelligence community. The word “treason” has been used plenty in recent days.

John King, CNN’s chief national correspondent, says the meeting with Putin in Helsinki should be referred to as the “surrender summit,”  while even pro-Trump media outlets, like Fox News, are decrying Trump’s performance alongside Putin as being weak.

Where is the Line? Has Trump Finally Crossed it?

In the last month, Donald Trump has met with and praised North Korean and Russian dictators Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin. In the same time frame, he has chastised and goaded historical allies in Canada and the European Union. He is also dealing with a crisis on United States soil when it comes to immigration laws.

With the Democrats expected to regain control of the House in November’s mid-term elections and mounting accusations of treasonous behavior by the current administration, the question is being asked whether the House will act on impeachment.

Other Presidential Impeachments in American History

Two men holding the office of POTUS have been impeached, but not convicted, in the history of the country. Democrat Andrew Johnson, the country’s 17th president, was impeached in 1868 while, more recently, Democrat Bill Clinton was impeached in 1998. Both were acquitted after Senate Republicans were unable to get enough votes for conviction.

The most famous should-be but never-was impeachment was of Richard Nixon in 1974. Less than two weeks after the start of the process, Nixon resigned the office of the president rather than face the trial.

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President Donald Trump has found himself in the discussion to earn the Nobel Peace Prize. Several of Trump’s most committed supporters in the House of Representatives have sent a letter to the Norwegian Nobel Committee, formally nominating the POTUS for the award.

This nomination is due to Trump’s international relations work concerning North Korea.

“Since taking office, President Trump has worked tirelessly to apply maximum pressure on North Korea to end its illicit weapons program and bring peace to the region,” the letter reads.

How Can Trump Win The Nobel Prize?

If Trump supporters were planning on betting on the president to win the Nobel Prize – the odds are currently +275 (win $275 on a $100 bet) – then they may want to wait until after the planned summit between the POTUS and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.

The meeting, which will mark the first time a sitting U.S. president has ever met with a leader of North Korea, is scheduled for June 12 in Singapore. Although Trump and Kim’s relationship has been occasionally confrontational, it seems as though the “peace” continues to be the aspiration for America.

If Trump were able to play a pivotal role in the denuclearization of North Korea – along with the recent sanctions imposed on North Korea by the United Nations – then his candidacy for the Nobel Prize will become much more valid.

Will Donald Trump Win The 2018 Nobel Peace Prize?

Odds as of May 10 at Bovada

  • Yes +275
  • No -350
Will Donald Trump Complete A Full Term As Potus?

Odds as of May 10 at Bovada

  • Yes -170
  • No +130

Archived Articles

No president has ever garnered the amount of talk and betting as Donald Trump. The 45th POTUS can’t go a 24-hour news cycle without becoming the center of some sort of controversy, whether that be the firing of James Comey, his always Twitter rage-inducing stance on foreign policy or his inability to condemn Nazis. 

Of course, this all means that there are plenty of betting odds concerning the future of Trump’s tenure at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. From finishing his first term as president to possible impeachment, you can find the list of ever-expanding Trump prop bets right here.  

You can also get odds on who will win the 2020 United States presidential election by clicking here. 

Donald Trump Exit Date

Odds as of January 10 at Bovada

  • 2018 +250
  • 2019 +400
  • 2020 or later -150
Will Donald Trump Complete A Full Term As POTUS?

Odds as of January 10 at Bovada

  • Yes EVEN
Will Donald Trump Be Convicted By The Senate In His 1st Term?

Odds as of January 10 at Bovada

  • Yes +3250
Will Donald Trump Be Impeached By The House In His 1st Term?

Odds as of January 10 at Bovada

  • Yes -200
Will Donald Trump Resign The Presidency In His 1st Term?

Odds as of January 10 at Bovada

  • Yes +125