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F1 Podium: Three Bets for the Russian Grand Prix

Sebastian Vettel of Germany driving the (5) Scuderia Ferrari SF71H needs a win this weekend at the Russian Grand Prix

Sebastien Vettel needs to get back to the top of the podium sooner rather than later if he wants to have any chance of passing Lewis Hamilton in the championship. History is against him as Mercedes has won each of the four races in Sochi since Russia joined the calendar in 2014.

Valtteri Bottas took the checkered flag last year, Nico Rosberg in 2016 and Lewis Hamilton in both 2015 and 2014. Vettel was sandwiched between the two Finns, Bottas and Kimi Raikkonen, on the podium last year and believes he can take top spot this year.

Pundits have this track as more of a Ferrari track than a Mercedes track, however past results have not supported this. Below you will find my three bets to make this weekend:

P1: Hamilton to Win & Fastest Lap (+500)

Because the field is so fractured in F1, in order to find a good win, bettors will often have to combine two events to get ahead of the oddsmakers. I really like taking Lewis Hamilton to have the fastest lap and to win this race.

Hamilton has been near unbeatable recently and even though he could potentially put it in cruise control and still win the driver’s championship, his competitive fire isn’t going to allow that to happen. His skill combined with less pressure to succeed may ultimately propel him to new heights down the stretch.

P2: Lewis Hamilton and Valtteri Bottas combination podium finish (YES, +100)

Mercedes has dominated this track for four years and there’s no reason to think that won’t continue this week. Between Hamilton and Bottas they have won three of the four races on this circuit and both were effective in early practice sessions this year. With both Red Bull cars starting near the back, Mercedes and Ferrari should be neck and neck for podium spots.

P3: Both Red Bull Cars Points Finish (NO, -110)

Speaking of Red Bull starting near the back – I’m taking the NO bet for both Max Verstappen and Daniel Ricciardo finishing in the points this week in Russia. Due to penalties, the Red Bull cars will start 17th and 18th.

The uphill battle aside, Red Bull drivers have traditionally had mechanical issues in Russia leading to retirements from Ricciardo in two of the past three races. For me, that’s good enough to get on this bet at -110.

Here are the full odds for outright winner of the 2018 Russian Grand Prix:

2018 Italian Grand Prix Odds
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes)+110
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari)+120
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes)+600
Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari)+1000
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)+6600
Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull)+8000
Esteban Ocon (Force India)+100000
Sergio Perez (Force India)+100000
Kevin Magnussen (Haas)+100000
Romain Grosjean (Haas)+100000
Carlos Sainz (Renault)+150000
Nico Hulkenberg (Renault)+150000
Charles Leclerc (Sauber)+150000
Marcus Ericsson (Sauber)+250000
Fernando Alonso (McLaren)+250000
Pierre Gasly (Toro Rosso)+300000
Stoffel Vandoorne (McLaren)+300000
Brendon Hartley (Toro Rosso)+300000
Sergey Sirotkin (Williams)+400000
Lance Stroll (Williams)+400000

Odds as of September 28 at Bet365