Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry have started the NBA season in red-hot scoring form. It is hardly surprising that they are No. 1 and 2 respectively in the points-per-game charts. However, it is a long season and there are always major changes to individual betting markets, which can be disrupted by an injury, a suspension or a slump.
Odds Shark breaks down the NBA scoring leader odds below for wagering on the player to lead the NBA in points per game in the 2021-22 season.
According to BetUS’s NBA scoring leader odds, Kevin Durant is a heavy favorite with former colleague Stephen Curry close behind. Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Los Angeles Clippers’ Paul George follow in the distance.
For more NBA odds, have a look at Odds Shark’s dedicated NBA page, which also includes other NBA betting opportunities from the National Basketball Association, and a guide on how to bet on NBA games online.
Who Is Favored To Lead NBA In Scoring?
Odds as of November 24 at Betway
Favorites To Lead The NBA In Scoring
Kevin Durant (+200)
Durant has been in sensational early-season form for the Nets. In 17 games, he is averaging a league-best 28.5 points per game. There are a few other metrics to consider as well, including minutes per game. Kyrie Irving’s absence, for instance, will certainly impact Durant’s minutes on the court for the Nets.
“Kyrie made his decision on what he wanted to do, he chose to do what he wanted to do and the team did the same,” Durant said. “It’s just on me to focus on me, just focus on me and do my job, I want our whole team together, I want us to be at full strength, but sometimes it doesn’t work out that way.”
So far, Steve Nash has given Durant 34.9 minutes per game, a bit higher than his averages at this point in preceding seasons. He has a field-goal percentage of 55.8 and shoots close to 86 percent from the free-throw stripe. Naturally, he is a heavy favorite in the NBA scoring leader odds.
Stephen Curry (+225)
With Klay Thompson injured, Stephen Curry was asked what to expect from the 2019-20 season in the NBA. He answered “48 minutes a game for all 82,” meaning he would have to play 48 minutes in all 82 regular-season games. While that was a tongue-in-cheek exaggeration, Curry has had to put in a lot more work without his Splash Brother in the lineup.
He led the NBA in scoring last season, averaging a career-high 32.0 points per game over 63 games and playing 34.2 minutes a night. This season, Steve Kerr has kept his wrecker-in-chief on the court for an average of 33.9 minutes per game and Curry has averaged 28.4 points, a measly 0.1 points per game less than Durant.
Curry has converted a sparkling 96.2 percent of his free-throw attempts and while his field-goal percentage (45.5 percent) is lower than Durant’s, he has been in red-hot form from distance, averaging a stunning 5.4 three-pointers per game. For some context, his closest rival in that category among the top 50 scorers in the NBA is the Trail Blazers’ CJ McCollum with 3.4 made three-pointers per game.
Value Picks To Lead The NBA In Scoring
The NBA scoring leader odds move from value to astronomical quickly in this market.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (+700)
Any market that has odds of +700 for Antetokounmpo is at least worth consideration. Antetokounmpo averaged 28.1 points per game in 2020-21 in 33 minutes and this season is scoring 26.9 points per game in 32.6 minutes.
While his NBA scoring leader odds are fairly valuable, his activity in the paint tends to lead to fouls, which means he will have fewer minutes on the court than point guards like Curry. That is a tangible disadvantage for Antetokounmpo in this market.
Paul George (+1000)
George has been through the ups and downs of the NBA but at a much higher level than some of his peers. You could say the same of the Clippers, who have made the playoffs but have still failed to live up to lofty expectations.
George averaged 23.3 points per game last season to rank 27th in the NBA. His rapid start this season has pushed him up the NBA scoring leader oddsboard to the point he is actually a value pick if the Clippers can finally perform to par.
He is currently fourth in the NBA in scoring, averaging 26.4 points and 3.1 three-pointers per game, with a free-throw conversion percentage of over 90.
NBA Scoring Leaders Betting Strategy
If you’re looking for value, then Antetokounmpo and George are strong options but they wouldn’t be my choice. If Curry stays fit this season, he would be my pick, based on the current NBA scoring leader odds, and he now has the imminent return of Klay Thompson to look forward to.
Odds Shark will return in December for an update to the NBA scoring leader odds page. Till then, stay tuned for news that could have an impact on this market.
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Odds Shark Staff Thu, Aug 4, 11:20am