Each year since 2007, the NFL has packed up its act and hit the road to bring America’s passion to the good people of the United Kingdom as part of its NFL International Series.
This season’s NFL London campaign has three games being played in Jolly Olde England, with contests split between the brand-new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and the traditional stomping grounds of Wembley Stadium.
With three London games on the docket this season, here are some historical trends from these games you should keep in mind:
Favorites Dominate In London
| Betting Market | Record |
|---|---|
| Favorites (Moneyline) | 20-10-1 (64.5%) |
| Favorites (Spread) | 16-15 (51.6%) |
| OVER | 16-15 (51.6%) |
There aren't many notable trends from our 15 years of NFL London games. But, favorites have been getting it done outright.
Where the profit could be is the OVER. Or, more specifically, the alternate line OVERs. While the standard OVER is hitting at just above 50%, when that OVER hits the total is averaging out to 54.6 total points – well above any normal line.
So, if you're looking to base your future London picks off some historical NFL trends, I'd keep an eye on the straight up favorites and some alternate line OVERs.
Recent London NFL Results
| Date | Winning Team | Score | Losing Team | Score | Spread | Total | OVER/UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 1, 2023 | Jaguars | 23 | Falcons | 7 | JAC -3.5 | 42.5 | UNDER |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Broncos | 21 | Jaguars | 17 | JAC -1 | 40.5 | UNDER |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Giants | 27 | Packers | 22 | GB -9 | 42 | OVER |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Vikings | 28 | Saints | 25 | MIN -4 | 42 | OVER |
| Oct 18, 2021 | Jaguars | 23 | Dolphins | 20 | MIA -1.5 | 47.0 | UNDER |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Falcons | 28 | Jets | 20 | ATL -3 | 45.5 | OVER |
While there are no clear takeaways from the recent renditions of the NFL's London showcase, you may notice an oddly high amount of Jaguars football.
One reason the Jags keep getting sent overseas is because they're kind of the league's collective little brother with shaky attendance and sparse historic success. But, team owner Shahid Khan also owns the English football (soccer) club Fulham, making the Jaguars a natural fit to try to build a fanbase across the pond.
Unfortunately for Jags fans and bettors, Jacksonville hasn't had much success in their nine lifetime games in London. The Jaguars are 4-5 straight up and 4-5 against the spread in those nine contests.
What Are This Year's London Games?
- Week 4 (Oct 1): Falcons vs Jaguars
- Week 5 (Oct 9) Jaguars vs Bills
- Week 6 (Oct 15): Ravens vs Titans
Hey @Jaguars @AtlantaFalcons 👋 it's London gameweek babyyyy! 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/23ewp7MeMx
— NFL UK (@NFLUK) September 26, 2023
We've got a run of London games coming up over the next few weeks, but only one with lines currently out. The Jaguars are three-point favorites over the Falcons in Week 4 (-165 on the moneyline). History tells us the Jags are a good bet to win outright, as favs. But, maybe Jacksonville's historic lack of success in London will override that trend?
