Favorites Have Been a Profitable Punt in NFL London Games

Each year since 2007, the NFL has packed up its act and hit the road to bring the bounty of America’s game to the good people of the United Kingdom as part of its NFL International Series. This season’s NFL London campaign has four games being played in Jolly Olde England, with contests split between the brand-new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and the traditional stomping grounds of Wembley Stadium.

Let’s take a look at the betting results of the previous London matchups to see if there’s anything we can use to help handicap this year’s games across the pond.

The Favorite Has Been A Profitable Punt

Favorites have accumulated impressive 20-6-1 SU (77% win rate) and 17-10 ATS (63% cover rate) records across the 27 games played in U.K. stadiums since 2007, taking into account the three games already played there this season (Bears vs Raiders, Panthers vs Buccaneers and Bengals vs Rams).

Not only have favorites been winning these games, more often than not they’ve been blowing out their opponents, with favorites owning an average point differential of +15.1 in the 10 London games since the Jaguars’ 44-7 upset of the Ravens in 2017.

London Bridge is Falling UNDER

If you keep looking at the recent history (since the Jags’ big upset), you’ll notice a trend that had seen London games go below the total in six of the seven matchups prior to 2019, by an average of 12.1 points.

Jaguars Aren’t Just a British Luxury Vehicle

It’s become an annual tradition for the Jags to play in London and to be frank, they’ve played some of their best football on British soil, winning three straight matchups in England until last year’s six-point loss to the Eagles in Philly’s U.K. debut.

Looking back at the results, Jacksonville actually accounts for three of the only four covers by underdogs in the last 16 London games.

The Jaguars will play the final London game of 2019 when they burn a Week 9 home contest against the Texans at Wembley Stadium on November 3 as +1.5 underdogs.

Check out the complete list of betting results from NFL London games:

Note: Our database only has NFL moneyline data since 2015.