Deshaun Watson Odds: Will the Texans Trade the QB?

UPDATE: Amid allegations of sexual assault and harassment against Deshaun Watson, the odds for this prop are off the board. Watson is facing lawsuits filed by 22 women, putting his NFL future very much up in the air.

Deshaun Watson just completed the best year of his NFL career with the Houston Texans, who fired head coach Bill O’Brien four games into the season and stumbled to a 4-12 record. Watson led the league in passing yards (4,823) even after the team traded his top target, DeAndre Hopkins, to the Arizona Cardinals.

After the campaign concluded, Watson voiced his frustration with the Texans and demanded a trade out of the Lone Star State. After four years in Houston, the clock looks like it’s ticking on Watson’s time as a Texan.

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With rumors swirling about Watson’s uncertain future, Bovada has released odds on where Watson will play in 2021.

Remaining with the Texans in 2021 is the top option on the board at +210 in Deshaun Watson odds, followed by the Miami Dolphins (+250), New York Jets (+300), Denver Broncos (+300) and Carolina Panthers (+600) as the next likeliest options.

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Deshaun Watson Odds

Odds as of March 10 at Bovada

Will the Texans Refuse to Trade Watson?

With the start of a new league year beginning on March 17, the Texans haven’t budged on their stance of hanging on to their franchise QB. Houston’s complete unwillingness to discuss trading Watson has even gotten to the point where potential suitors are resorting to leaving voicemails with prospective trade offers, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network.

Houston is hoping that its recent hire of David Culley as head coach will help improve its relationship with the Clemson product. Although Culley and Watson haven’t met in person, they have spoken, but it did nothing to change Watson’s desire about wanting to be traded, per NFL Network insider Ian Rapoport. 

“Translation, this is going to last for a very, very long time,” Rapoport said. It appears the Texans and Watson are at a stalemate with no end in sight even though free agency and the 2021 NFL Draft are on the very near horizon.

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Watson, who signed a four-year, $156-million contract extension with the team in September, looks like he won’t be getting his way any time soon.

Which Teams Stand the Best Chance of Trading for Watson?

When looking at the teams on the oddsboard, there are only two that stand out as possible destinations for Watson.

The first is the Miami Dolphins at +250 in Deshaun Watson odds. Could the Texans make a move that revolved around Tua Tagovailoa? It’s very possible, and it’s a trade that I think new Texans general manager Nick Caserio would definitely make.

Caserio worked inside the New England Patriots organization for almost two decades, so he’s seen first-hand the trades that Bill Belichick has been able to pull off.

Whether he can replicate that is another question altogether, but he is definitely looking to do something big as a first-time general manager. Trading one franchise quarterback for another would certainly qualify.