Deshaun Watson Odds: Will the Texans Trade the Disgruntled QB?

Deshaun Watson just completed the best year of his NFL career with the Houston Texans, who fired head coach Bill O’Brien four games into the season and stumbled to a 4-12 record. Watson led the league in passing yards (4,823) even after the team traded his top target, DeAndre Hopkins, to the Arizona Cardinals.
After the campaign concluded, Watson voiced his frustration with the Texans and demanded a trade out of the Lone Star State. After four years in Houston, the clock looks like it’s ticking on Watson’s time as a Texan.
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With rumors swirling about Watson’s uncertain future, Bovada has released odds on where Watson will play in 2021.
Remaining with the Texans in 2021 is the top option on the board at +210 in Deshaun Watson odds, followed by the Miami Dolphins (+250), New York Jets (+300), Denver Broncos (+300) and Carolina Panthers (+600) as the next likeliest options.
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Deshaun Watson Odds
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Houston Texans | +210 |
Miami Dolphins | +250 |
New York Jets | +300 |
Denver Broncos | +300 |
Carolina Panthers | +600 |
San Francisco 49ers | +1500 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +2000 |
New England Patriots | +2000 |
Odds as of February 26 at Bovada
Will the Texans Refuse to Trade Watson?
With the start of a new league year beginning on March 17, the Texans haven’t budged on their stance of hanging on to their franchise QB. Houston’s complete unwillingness to discuss trading Watson has even gotten to the point where potential suitors are resorting to leaving voicemails with prospective trade offers, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network.
Houston is hoping that its recent hire of David Culley as head coach will help improve its relationship with the Clemson product. Although Culley and Watson haven’t met in person, they have spoken, but it did nothing to change Watson’s desire about wanting to be traded, per NFL Network insider Ian Rapoport.
“Translation, this is going to last for a very, very long time,” Rapoport said. It appears the Texans and Watson are at a stalemate with no end in sight even though free agency and the 2021 NFL Draft are on the very near horizon.
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Watson, who signed a four-year, $156-million contract extension with the team in September, looks like he won’t be getting his way any time soon.
Which Teams Stand the Best Chance of Trading for Watson?
When looking at the teams on the oddsboard, there are only two that stand out as possible destinations for Watson.
The first is the Miami Dolphins at +250 in Deshaun Watson odds. Could the Texans make a move that revolved around Tua Tagovailoa? It’s very possible, and it’s a trade that I think new Texans general manager Nick Caserio would definitely make.
Caserio worked inside the New England Patriots organization for almost two decades, so he’s seen first-hand the trades that Bill Belichick has been able to pull off.
Whether he can replicate that is another question altogether, but he is definitely looking to do something big as a first-time general manager. Trading one franchise quarterback for another would certainly qualify.
Jets, Panthers Could Be in the Mix
ESPN Upstate Radio in South Carolina recently reported that Watson has a list of three teams to which he would approve a trade: the Dolphins, Jets and Panthers.
The Jets appear to be in the best position of the two franchises to coordinate a deal. New York owns the second overall pick in the draft and could use that in a package to acquire Watson. The 25-year-old has a reported desire to play for the Jets and their new head coach, former San Francisco defensive coordinator Robert Salah.
The Jets, who hold four first-round selections in the next two drafts, would likely be willing to part with the highly coveted No. 2 pick if they decide to move on from Sam Darnold under center. At +300, the Jets look like an attractive option in Deshaun Watson odds.
The pick would give Houston the ability to choose its new quarterback in a year when a plethora of solid rookie signal-callers are available. Assuming the Jacksonville Jaguars choose Trevor Lawrence at No. 1, Justin Fields and Zach Wilson would make a lot of sense for the Texans.