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Tua Tagovailoa Odds: How Will Dolphins Quarterback Perform in 2020?

Tua Tagovailoa Betting Props Have Been Released.

In a surprise move, the Miami Dolphins announced Tuesday that Tua Tagovailoa will start ahead of Ryan Fitzpatrick for the foreseeable future. The fifth overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft was on the bench to start the season, with Fitzpatrick acting as his mentor. After entering Sunday’s blowout win against the New York Jets, though, it’s officially Tua time.

The best football betting sites have released betting props for Tua and how he’ll fare for the rest of the 2020 NFL regular season. According to Bovada, Tagovailoa has -270 odds to start OVER 8.5 games.

The sportsbooks didn’t stop there, also setting betting lines for passing yards, touchdowns and interceptions, which are all listed below. The young quarterback also sits seventh on the oddsboard to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

If you’re new to betting on football, check out our How To Bet NFL page to get up to speed, and keep track of the latest Super Bowl 55 odds here.

Let’s take a look at some more betting lines for Tua for the rest of the 2020 NFL regular season, so you can place your bets on the young phenom.

Starts for Tua Tagovailoa in 2020 Season
OptionOdds
OVER 8.5-270
UNDER 8.5+180

Odds as of October 22 at Bovada

Tua Tagovailoa Will Remain The Starter

Tua Tagovailoa was considered a can’t-miss quarterback prospect until a dislocated hip in Week 12 of the 2019 NCAA football season vs Mississippi State put his career in jeopardy. He possesses the ability to scramble and make plays, and was widely considered the best player in the best conference (SEC) in college football. Completing both of his passes in his appearance against the Jets, Tua showcased exactly why the Dolphins were so high on him.

At 3-3, Miami is in contention in the AFC East, sitting just one game behind the Buffalo Bills. While the move shocked many people, head coach Brian Flores feels like it is the right time to go to Tagovailoa. There are some injury concerns, which is definitely something to be wary of when making this bet, but if he can stay upright, there is no reason why he should not start the Dolphins’ final 10 games.

Passing Yards for Tua Tagovailoa in 2020 Season
OptionOdds
OVER 2380.5 Passing Yards-120
UNDER 2380.5 Passing Yards-120

Odds as of October 22 at Bovada

Look For The OVER to Hit On Passing Yards

This prop bet really depends on how well Tagovailoa can learn the offense under Chan Gailey. The offensive coordinator was brought in during the offseason to help Fitzpatrick and the offense, so now that Tua has become the starter, it will be interesting to see if he is able to read defenses on the fly and make plays.

Following a bye week, Tua opens his career as a starter against the Los Angeles Rams, and will have to face Bill Belichick and the tenacious Patriots defense twice. In six games, Fitzpatrick was able to amass 1,535 passing yards at a 70 percent completion clip. I don’t expect Tua to be as accurate, but if these numbers are any indication, then the OVER must be looked at.

Passing TDs for Tua Tagovailoa in 2020 Season
OptionOdds
OVER 13.5 Passing TDs-120
UNDER 13.5 Passing TDs-120

Odds as of October 22 at Bovada

Tagovailoa Will Crush the Passing Touchdown Prop

In 32 games with Alabama, Tagovailoa had 87 touchdown passes and averaged nearly 12 yards per passing attempt. Not only was he accurate, but he manufactured big plays. The offensive talent in Miami consists primarily of four players: wide receivers DeVante Parker and Preston Williams, running back Myles Gaskin and tight end Mike Gesicki.

All four have gotten off to pretty good starts to the season, and that was with Fitzpatrick throwing them the ball. They have combined for seven of Miami’s 10 touchdown receptions, which makes me believe that following the bye week, we could see those numbers substantially increase.

Tua has the ability to have this offense hitting on all cylinders and should easily go OVER for this touchdown prop.

Interceptions for Tua Tagovailoa in 2020 Season
OptionOdds
OVER 9 Interceptions-120
UNDER 9 Interceptions-120

Odds as of October 22 at Bovada

Will Tagovailoa Be Able To Handle NFL Defenses?

Tua Tagovailoa has been exceptional at every level he’s played at, so it’s fair to assume he will be able to learn the offense and get into a groove. However, we have seen rookie quarterbacks come into the NFL and struggle against the most ferocious defenses in the world of football.

The Dolphins have some games against tough defenses remaining on the schedule in the Rams, Chargers, Patriots (twice) and Chiefs. We have already seen Joe Burrow throw four interceptions and Justin Herbert three, so is it fair to assume that Tua will have a problem? I think he will struggle at first but as the season progresses, so will he. He might not be as accurate as he was in Alabama, but he does know how to avoid turnovers.

In his 32 games with the Crimson Tide, Tua threw only 11 interceptions. Now obviously that was against far lesser talent than there is in the NFL, but it does indicate to me that he is a smart and savvy quarterback. When the season is all said and done, there will be blemishes and weak spots, but he should keep the interception total down to around five or six.


Reading Tua Tagovailoa Prop Odds

At any football betting sites, you’ll see Tua Tagovailoa prop odds laid out like this:

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Touchdowns:

OVER 19 -120

UNDER 19 -120

Unlike a traditional bet where there is a clear favorite and underdog, this one has even odds as it’s a betting line oddsmakers anticipate Tagovailoa will come close to.

If you think Tagovailoa will hit the OVER and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $180 – you get your original money back along with your winnings of $80. Conversely, if you believe he is going to go UNDER that betting line, you would take that option and have the same payout if you bet $100.

Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will show you what you’d win based on the amount you bet and odds offered.

What is a Prop Bet?

A prop is a bet on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain outcomes that may not necessarily determine the outcome of the football game. You can make a bet like this as soon as the odds are announced. Oddsmakers will move the lines as news comes out and adjust them based on a player’s performance. If you see odds you like, place your bet immediately, otherwise the action could move so much that you may miss out on a more advantageous line to make a profit.