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How Will Tua Tagovailoa Fare in his First Season with the Dolphins?

Tua Tagovailoa Betting Props April 28 2020

The Miami Dolphins may have been one of the biggest winners of the 2020 NFL Draft after landing quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with the fifth overall pick. Now talent evaluators and oddsmakers have started to stir the pot in pondering whether the Alabama Crimson Tide product will be starting Week 1 of the NFL season.

The best football betting sites have started to release betting props for Tua and how he’ll fare for the 2020 NFL regular season. According to Bovada he has +325 odds to beat out Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen for the starting gig in Week 1.

The sportsbooks didn’t stop there, also setting betting lines for Tua’s first season in South Beach with OVER/UNDER props available for passing yards, touchdowns and interceptions, which are listed below. As well, he’s fourth on the oddsboard to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

If you’re new to betting on football, check out our How To Bet NFL page to get up to speed, or keep track of the latest Super Bowl 55 odds here.

Here are the odds for whether Tua will be starting Week 1 of the 2020 NFL regular season with the Dolphins:

Will Tua Tagovailoa Start Game 1 2020 NFL Regular Season for the Miami Dolphins? 
OptionOdds
Yes+325
No-550

Odds as of June 1 at Bovada

Tua Tagovailoa Performance Props

Up until his dislocated hip in Week 12 vs Mississippi State, Tua Tagovailoa was considered a can’t-miss quarterback prospect in the NFL with his ability to scramble and make plays in what is widely considered the best conference (SEC) in college football. Before the injury, there was serious debate about whether Tua or Joe Burrow should be taken first in the draft.

In 32 games with Alabama, Tagovailoa was a stud. He had 87 touchdown passes to only 11 interceptions and averaged nearly 12 yards per passing attempt, which makes me think he may go OVER for these props listed ... if he plays. Due to the injury concerns and the trust Ryan Fitzpatrick has built up with head coach Brian Flores, there is a scenario where Tua doesn’t play for the first half of the season unless Fitzy gets hurt.

Being in a reserve role is nothing new for the Hawaiian, who was on the bench for most of his freshman season playing mop-up duty to Jalen Hurts. That is, until he was subbed in for the second half of the 2018 College Football National Championship game vs Georgia and proceeded to lead the Crimson Tide to a comeback victory.

Considering the talent Miami acquired in the offseason to complement young blue-chip receivers DeVante Parker and Preston Williams, Tua should easily go OVER for his passing props ... if he can avoid the big hits. 

Tua Tagovailoa - Total Passing Yards in 2020 Season
OptionOdds
OVER 3200 Passing Yards-120
UNDER 3200 Passing Yards-120

Odds as of June 1 at BetOnline

Tua Tagovailoa - Total Passing TDs in 2020 Season
OptionOdds
OVER 19 Passing TDs-120
UNDER 19 Passing TDs-120

Odds as of June 1 at BetOnline

Tua Tagovailoa - Total Interceptions in 2020 Season
OptionOdds
OVER 15.5 Interceptions-110
UNDER 15.5 Interceptions-130

Odds as of June 1 at BetOnline


Reading Tua Tagovailoa Prop Odds

At any football betting sites, you’ll see Tua Tagovailoa prop odds laid out like this:

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Touchdowns:

OVER 19 -120

UNDER 19 -120

Unlike a traditional bet where there is a clear favorite and underdog, this one has even odds as it’s a betting line oddsmakers anticipate Tagovailoa will come close to.

If you think Tagovailoa will hit the OVER and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $180 – you get your original money back along with your winnings of $80. Conversely, if you believe Tagovailoa is going to go UNDER that betting line, you would take that option and have the same payout if you bet $100.

Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will show you what you’d win based on the amount you bet and odds offered.

What is a Prop Bet?

A prop is a bet on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain outcomes that may not necessarily determine the outcome of the football game. You can make a bet like this as soon as the odds are announced. Oddsmakers will move the lines as news comes out and adjust them based on a player’s performance. If you see odds you like, place your bet immediately, otherwise the action could move so much that you may miss out on a more advantageous line to make a profit.