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Odds to Finish with the Worst Record in the NFL: Jaguars Top Pick For The Basement

NFL Worst Record 2020 Gardner Minshew April 14 2020

With the NFL season on the horizon and 32 teams gunning to win Super Bowl 55, the best football betting sites have released new odds on which team will have the worst regular-season record in 2020 and the Jacksonville Jaguars remain at the top of the list.

The Jaguars are listed at +250 to be the worst team in the NFL according to online sportsbook Bovada after finishing 2019 at 6-10 SU. Next on the list are the Washington Professional Football Team (+550), who took DE Chase Young with the second pick of the draft and are starting fresh with a new coaching staff led by Ron Rivera.

The Cincinnati Bengals, who got their quarterback of the future in Joe Burrow, have the third-best odds to be in the basement again at +700, odds they share with the Carolina Panthers, who wrapped up 2019 at 5-11 SU with eight straight losses.

With Clemson quarterback and Heisman Trophy candidate Trevor Lawrence expected to declare for the 2021 NFL Draft, a team’s futility in 2020 could be their gain in 2021.

Here is the full list of odds for which team will finish with the worst record in the NFL in 2020:

Odds to Finish with the Worst Record in the NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars+250
Washington Football Team+550
Carolina Panthers+700
Cincinnati Bengals+700
Miami Dolphins+1200
New York Jets+1200
New York Giants+1400
Detroit Lions+1600
Las Vegas Raiders+1800
Arizona Cardinals+2500
Houston Texans+2500
Atlanta Falcons+3000
Los Angeles Chargers+3300
Chicago Bears+3500
Los Angeles Rams+4500
Tennessee Titans+5000
Denver Broncos+5000
Cleveland Browns+5000
New England Patriots+5500
Green Bay Packers+5500
Buffalo Bills+5500
Minnesota Vikings+6000
Indianapolis Colts+6600
Seattle Seahawks+8000
Pittsburgh Steelers+8000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+9000
Philadelphia Eagles+9000
Dallas Cowboys+10000
New Orleans Saints+10000
San Francisco 49ers+10000
Baltimore Ravens+10000
Kansas City Chiefs+10000

Odds as of August 29 at Bovada

Why The Jaguars Are The Favorite

The main reason the Jacksonville Jaguars are the team most likely to finish with the worst record in the NFL is their glaring holes on defense. It was only 2017 that they had arguably the best defense in the NFL with playmakers at every level, but it’s safe to say that feels like a lifetime ago.

After trading away their defensive leader in cornerback Jalen Ramsey last season, the pieces that made them formidable walked out the door, were traded or cut. Here are some of the transactions in the last two years that neutered the defense:

  • Traded CB Jalen Ramsey to the Rams for a first-round pick
  • Traded CB AJ Bouye to the Broncos for a fourth-round pick
  • Traded DE Calais Campbell to the Ravens for a fifth-round pick
  • Didn’t re-sign DT Marcell Dareus
  • Traded DE Dante Fowler Jr. to the Rams for a third-round pick
  • LB Telvin Smith chose to retire

The last one isn’t the Jaguars’ fault but I think you’re getting the drift. All of those players were in the Pro Bowl in 2017, with Campbell and Ramsey getting All-Pro nods, and Jacksonville made it all the way to the AFC championship game. When you subtract six key contributors like that, it’s easy to see why this defense bottomed out.

In 2017, they allowed 16.8 points per game. In 2018, that average was 19.8 and in 2019 it ballooned to 24.8. The regression is real in Duval and no amount of effort from QB Gardner Minshew and RB Leonard Fournette will likely change that unless the talent on defense is upgraded immensely.

Washington Could Challenge The Jags in Futility

If you look at any team on this list and take away their starting quarterback, things could get ugly in a hurry. So, doing this exercise on the assumption everyone stays healthy, the team that makes the most sense to be at the bottom of the standings is the Washington Professional Football Team (+550).

Washington is already starting on its back foot going into the 2020 season because while it took Chase Young with the second pick, it just doubles down on a strength it already had on the defensive line. Washington has now taken a defensive lineman in the first round for the last four years when it’s clear that the team needs help for other parts of the roster.

Glaring needs at offensive tackle, running back and the secondary make it hard to envision QB Dwayne Haskins leading the squad to more than five wins. Outside of the division, they have to face the Niners, Steelers, Ravens, Seahawks, Browns and the recently improved Cardinals, which on paper looks like six losses for this squad.

Understanding NFL Worst Record Prop Odds

When you check out your sportsbook of choice for NFL betting props like NFL Team To Finish With Worst Regular Season Record, you’ll see prop odds that look something like this:

Jacksonville Jaguars +250

Washington Redskins +550

Carolina Panthers +700

To bet on these odds, you would be making a prop bet – more on that in a bit. In this case, there is no clear favorite like there would be on a moneyline or spread bet. 

If you think the Jacksonville Jaguars will finish the 2020 NFL regular season with the worst record and you bet $100 on that option, you’d get a payout of $350 – you get your $100 back along with your winnings of $250. Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What is a Prop Bet?

prop is a bet on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain outcomes that may not necessarily determine the outcome of a game. You can make a bet like this as soon as the odds are announced. Oddsmakers will move the lines as news comes out about injuries or trades, for instance, that will affect a team’s overall performance. If you see odds you like, place your bet immediately, otherwise, the action could move so much that you’ll barely make a profit or maybe even not make one at all.