NHL expert picks May 26, 2024

NHL Playoff Expert Picks & Preview: Keep Hitting The UNDER In This Series

We're well into the Stanley Cup playoffs now. Every day of the NHL postseason, Josie Costigan and I have you set with daily expert picks.

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Rolling Records
Michel: 44-25 (+7.63 Units)
Josie: 30-36 (-5.47 Units)

Game 3: panthers vs rangers preview & pick
The Game: florida panthers vs NY Rangers, 3 PM ET

TeamPucklineTotalMoneyline
NY Rangers+1.5 (-205)O5.5 (+114)+130
Florida Panthers-1.5 (+170)U5.5 (-135)-155

 

Michel's Take: Every series has a theme. This one seems to be the UNDER. In both games of the Eastern Conference, the UNDER has hit and by a healthy margin. We had three goals in both Games 1 and 2, well under the six needed to hit the OVER.

The total has gone UNDER in Florida's last five games. It's clear that they've found their defensive swagger that saw the total go UNDER in 56 games this year (60%).

Now the series heads to Florida where the Cats are 27-18-2 (57%) against the UNDER this season.

Looking at the underlying numbers will say the OVER should have hit in both games with 6.08xG in Game 1 and 5.93 in Game 2. But with Bobrovksy (0.962SV% & 0.90GAA) and Shesterkin (0.943SV% & 1.37GAA) playing like the Vezina-caliber goalies they are, we're going to see them stop a few any other goalie would have let in. So with the total teetering on the edge of a knife, these goalies push it towards the UNDER.

Pick: UNDER 5.5 (-135)

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