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Euro 2020 Group A Odds: Italy the Favorite

Euro 2020 is scheduled to kick off on June 12 with action from Group A. Who has the advantage in the group? Will there be unexpected results early in the group? We break down the markets for your Euro 2020 Group A betting.

According to BetOnline, Italy is a massive favorite to win this group at -200. Next on the list is Switzerland (+500), Turkey (+550) and Wales (+750).

For more information on how to wager on soccer, check out our How to Bet on Soccer page. We also have dedicated Euro pages, including the futures market.

See Odds Shark’s Best Euro 2020 Betting Sites

Group A details

Teams participating: Italy, Switzerland, Turkey, Wales

Euro 2020 Qualifying Results

Italy

Unstoppable in Group J, finishing with 10 wins in 10 games. Italy also had a massive goal differential of +33. Comfortably topped the group.

Switzerland

Qualified for the Euro 2020 tournament by leading Group D with 17 points in eight games. Switzerland had a goal differential of +13. Highlight of the group was a thrilling 3-3 draw with second-place Denmark.

Turkey

Finished second in Group H, behind only France. Turkey beat France 2-0 and then drew 1-1 in the second fixture. Finished with 23 points, built on seven wins.

Wales

Runner-up of Group E, behind Croatia. Wales had 14 points, three points fewer than Croatia.

Euro 2020 Group A Betting Odds

NationOdds
Italy-200
Switzerland+500
Turkey+550
Wales+750

Odds as of June 8 at BetOnline

Euro 2020 Group A Odds Analysis

Italy (-200) will begin as the massive favorite to win Group A. After its dominant run right through 2020 and the first half of this year, it would not be a shrewd decision to bet against Roberto Mancini and Italy.

The health of this Switzerland (+500) team will be crucial as local leagues draw to a close. That’s because the core of Switzerland’s team is strong but there are questions about its bench strength. A strong qualifier has put Switzerland at fair odds of +500.

Turkey (+550) is coming off a sensational qualifier last year. Cenk Tosun, Turkey’s most influential offensive weapon, will be key to his country’s success this year.

The underdog of the Euro 2020 Group A betting pool is Wales (+750). Gareth Bale is just starting to find fluency with Tottenham so don’t be surprised if these odds shorten.

Euro 2020 Group A Betting Tips

Based on form, there is no better team to stake your money on than Italy. It has won 10 of 10 games in the Euro qualifiers and three of three in the World Cup qualifiers. The depth of its squad, along with an outstanding coach, should ensure that Italy continues its stellar run in the biggest European national tournament.

An analysis of these Euro 2020 Group A odds should suggest that while the three other teams in this group are strong in their own style of play and bundled close together, they won’t come close to stopping Italy. As a result, my suggestion for your Euro 2020 Group A betting would be to invest freely on Italy to win the group. Italy’s implied probability to win the group, according to Odds Shark’s calculator, is 66.67 percent.

Euro 2020 Group A Value Picks

The weeks leading up to the tournament will have a significant impact on the final odds for each group. From a value-for-money standpoint, there is a consideration to be made for Wales. Bale scored a few spectacular goals for Tottenham, even under new management, which will be important for his confidence going into this Euro tournament.

Wales is also well coached by one of Europe’s biggest stars in Ryan Giggs. Wales’ implied probability, according to its Euro 2020 Group A betting odds, is 11.76 percent.

World Cup 2022 Qualifying Results for Each Team So Far

Italy: Won three of three games to lead the Group C standings in the European qualifiers with a goal differential of +6. Italy hasn’t conceded a goal in qualifying.

Switzerland: Won two of two games to move to second position in Group C, behind Italy. Switzerland has six points, well ahead of Northern Ireland (one point), Bulgaria (one point) and Lithuania (zero points).

Turkey: Currently leads Group G with seven points in three games, including two wins and one draw.  

Wales: One win and one loss has put Wales in third position in Group E.

A Detailed Analysis on Italy

Coaching

Head coach: Roberto Mancini

Mancini was brought in to coach the Italian soccer team in 2018. He has already indicated that he will step down upon the conclusion of the World Cup in 2022, with an interest in coaching a club next.

For this specific tournament, Mancini said expanding squads was crucial with the threat of COVID-19 still lingering.

“Expanding the squad to 25 or 26 players could be a good thing because the season has been very tough,” he said. “Plus, you never know, someone could contract the virus during the tournament. It would then become difficult to find other players, because they would have all gone on holiday.”

Italy’s assistant coach, Daniele de Rossi, was also hospitalized after testing positive for COVID-19 during last month’s World Cup qualifiers.

Player to watch: Ciro Immobile has been in standout form in the Serie A. The impressive factor is his consistency. To be excellent for several years running is no mean feat.

Top scorer in qualifying: Andrea Belotti led Italy with five goals.

Euro 2016 result: Lost to Germany in the quarterfinals 6-5 in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw in regular time. Italy finished first in its group and also beat Spain 2-0 in the Round of 16.

Best result in past Euro cups: Italy won the 1968 UEFA European Championship at home. It finished as runner-up twice after that, in 2000 and 2012.

Fun fact: The upcoming Euro 2020 will be Italy’s 10th in the final tournament. Since its non-participation in 1992 in Sweden, it has qualified for this event seven times in a row. In all this time, Italy has failed to progress past the group stage on only two occasions: in 1996 and 2004.

Predicted Finish in Group A: Our Euro 2020 Group A betting prediction for Italy is first.

A Detailed Analysis on Switzerland

Coaching

Head coach: Vladimir Petković

Petković took charge of Switzerland in 2014. However, Switzerland has not made the final of a major event since he took over.  

Player to watch: Granit Xhaka has been plying his trade in the English Premier League with Arsenal. He’ll be tasked with a familiar holding midfielder role.

Top scorer in qualifying: Cédric Itten scored three goals to lead his team in goals.

Euro 2016 result: Lost to Poland in the Round of 16 in a penalty shootout 5-4 after a 1-1 draw in regular time.

Best result in past Euro cups: Switzerland doesn’t have an impressive record at this tournament, having won just two games with five draws and six losses. Its best result was in the previous edition as it made the Round of 16 after a commendable performance in the group stages.

Fun fact: In its history, Switzerland’s most frequent opponent in international soccer has been Italy (58 matches so far). Next on that list is Germany with 51 games.

Predicted Finish in Group A: Our Euro 2020 Group A betting prediction for Switzerland is third.

A Detailed Analysis on Wales

Coaching

Head coach: Ryan Giggs

Former Manchester United midfielder Ryan Giggs will manage Wales at this tournament. He has a crop of younger, quicker players at his disposal for this competition. Being underdogs, he will desperately need them. He took over in January of 2018. He made 64 appearances for Wales between 1991 and 2007, and scored 11 goals.

“The lads who’d been there in 2016, a lot of them have now left the squad, but we’ve still got that nucleus,” Giggs said. “So they’re sort of the ones who show the way, but also as a player, I was motivated by young players who were maybe after my place, who would give you that energy, both in training and in games, and that’s what we’ve got.”

Player to watch: Aaron Ramsey has moved around several clubs and leagues in the last few years. For Wales, he will be needed to provide some accuracy and creativity in the final third.

Top scorer in qualifying: Gareth Bale, Aaron Ramsey and Kieffer Moore scored two goals apiece to lead Wales.

Euro 2016 result: Lost to Portugal in the semifinals 2-0 after a terrific run in the tournament, which included wins against Belgium, Russia and Slovakia.

Best result in past Euro cups: Wales’ stellar performance in the 2016 Euro tournament was also its best ever in this competition as it made the semifinal.

Fun fact: The Football Association of Wales was founded in 1876. It is the third-oldest national organization in soccer. Only England (1863) and Scotland (1873) were formed earlier than Wales.

Predicted Finish in Group A: Our Euro 2020 Group A betting prediction for Wales is second.

A Detailed Analysis on Turkey

Coaching

Head coach: Şenol Güneş

Şenol Güneş, an iconic national player, will lead Turkey at this tournament. He helped Besiktas win two championships before he returned to the national fold to coach Turkey in 2019.

“Unpredictability is an advantage for us, as we use it in tandem with our creativity and team spirit,” Güneş said. “We want to play in a way that not only makes us proud but which is also entertaining for the fans that watch us. We are a big country and want to establish our place in the world but we also want our football to bring joy.”

Player to watch: Cenk Tosun has been in dynamic goal-scoring form for club and country. He is also coming off a solid qualifying tournament.

Top scorer in qualifying: Cenk Tosun was at the top of his game in qualifying. He scored five goals to lead Turkey.

Euro 2016 result: Lost two games in Group B, including a 3-0 defeat to Spain and a 1-0 loss to Croatia. Failed to progress past the group stage.

Best result in past Euro cups: Turkey finished in the semifinals of 2008, its best result at this competition.

Fun fact: Turkey’s coach, Şenol Güneş, was the goalkeeper when Turkey beat Wales 1-0 in the November 1979 Euro qualifier. He also featured in both meetings between these two teams in the World Cup qualifiers in 1982.

Predicted Finish in Group A: Our Euro 2020 Group A betting prediction for Turkey is fourth.

Euro 2020 Group A Predictions

The real question is which team will be able to stay close to Italy in order to finish second from Group A. Switzerland and Turkey have fantastic national form from the qualifying tournament but Wales will not be a pushover.

Which teams will advance?

There is a lot to like about Wales this time around, including the timely return to form for Bale and Ramsey. Considering the high odds, Wales is proving to be too compelling to ignore. However, if this is too rich for your risk portfolio, you could even wait it out and see how the teams stack up as the competition inches closer.

Wales will also face Italy toward the end of the group, which could plausibly mean Mancini calls on his bench strength for that game: “Hopefully they’ll have won all their games by the time we play them and use their reserves,” Giggs said of the scheduling.

If I had to place the four teams right now, it would be in this order: Italy, Wales (a punt pick), Switzerland, Turkey.