Bet the OVER in the Leagues Cup Final Odds

Leagues Cup Final Odds: Hammer The OVER in Nashville vs Inter Miami

The Leagues Cup Final is set with two MLS squads facing off. Lionel Messi's Inter Miami takes on Hany Mukhtar's Nashville SC. The two are set to face off at GEODIS Park in Nashville on Saturday, August 19.

Heading into the game Inter Miami is favored at +105 on the moneyline and it's hard to argue with that seeing how they've played in the lead-up to the Final.

Leagues Cup Final Odds

Leagues Cup Final
Nashville SC+0.5 (-155)+215O2.5 (-165)
Inter Miami-0.5 (+105)+105U2.5 (+115)
Draw +270 

Odds as of August 16

Obviously, both squads are on winning runs. That's how they got to the Final. But with the trio of Lionel Messi, Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets, Miami should be considered the favorites.

If you haven't been paying attention, Messi is seemingly scoring at will in the Leagues Cup. Whether it's pure skill or poor defending doesn't matter. They don't ask you how but how many.

If the GOAT keeps up this goal-scoring form when MLS play resumes he might just win the Golden Boot.

So maybe you should sprinkle a unit or two on Messi to score at any time. His odds are at -120. That's $8 of profit if the Argentinian Wizard continues to find the back of the net. Why would he stop now?

I'm not going to focus on the moneyline. When it comes to a final anything can happen. Grit and determination can trump skill. So instead I'm going to focus on the total.

The line is set at 2.5 goals. The OVER is at -165. That's a line I like a lot. Sure, the payout isn't as good as +105. At -165 a winning $10 bet would return $6 in profit for a $16 payout. 

But let's look at both teams run through the League Cup and you'll see this is the smartest bet to make. 

For Nashville, the total has gone OVER 2.5 goals in four of six games in the Leagues Cup while Inter Miami have gone OVER 2.5 goals in all six of their matches. That's an 83% hit rate combining both teams' records. Why would you bet anything else?

Nashville & Miami's Total Record In Leagues Cup
Group Stagevs Colorado 2-1 (O)
vs Toluca 3-4 (O)
vs Cruz Azul 2-1 (O)
vs Atlanta 4-0 (O)
Round of 32vs Cincinnati 1-1 (U)vs Orlando 3-1 (O)
Round of 16vs América 2-2 (O)vs Dallas 4-4 (O)
Quarter-Finalsvs Minnesota 5-0 (O)vs Charlotte 4-0 (O)
Semi-Finalsvs Monterrey 2-0 (U)vs Philadelphia 4-1 (O)


Extending the sample size to the MLS and Miami has seen the score exceed 2.5 goals 10 times in 13 games played since May. That includes a 2-1 loss to Nashville on May 17.

I'm going to be betting on the OVER in this matchup.