Ian Garry is favored over Geoff Neal at UFC 292

Garry vs Magny Odds & Pick: New Opponent, Same Betting Gameplan

UFC 292 features flashy title fights (Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O'Malley + Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos), but another fight on the main card was drumming up plenty of attention.

Welterweights Ian Machado Garry and Geoff Neal were supposed to fight Saturday. But like many other contests on this card, it fell apart. Neal got hurt and veteran Neil Magny stepped up to take his place.

There's a new betting line now. The Irishman is a -500 favorite in the Garry vs Magny odds.

Ian Garry vs Neil Magny Betting Odds

Garry vs Magny Odds
Ian Machado Garry-500
Neil Magny+370

Odds as of August 14

Per our odds calculator, Garry's -500 status awards him a 83.33% implied chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $120.00. At +370, Magny gets a 21.28% chance and a $100 bet cashes $470. 

Garry vs Magny Tale Of The Tape

FighterNeil MagnyIan Machado Garry
Record28-11 (21-9 UFC)12-0 (5-0 UFC)
Avg. Fight Time12:3510:28
Sig. Strikes Per Minute3.526.85
Sig. Strikes Absorbed Per Minute2.254.09
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes2.300.29
Takedown Accuracy41%50%
Takedown Defense56%63%

Garry vs Magny Betting Preview: Who Reigns Supreme at UFC 292?

This bout isn't quite the rager Garry vs Neal was, but Magny is an established opponent, and Garry could leap a few spots in the 170-pound rankings with a win. 

How Garry Wins

Garry is a striking ballerina in the cage, pumping opponents with blazing hooks and uppercuts, almost like a bigger, scarier Conor McGregor.

The 25-year-old can beat Magny, but he must stay loose. He's best when, again like McGregor, he flows inside the cage — that means bouncing on his feet, pawing with the jab and then exploding.

The Irishman can let it rip against Magny in a way that would've been quite dangerous vs Neal. "Handz of Steel" is a bonafide slugger at 170 pounds. Magny, on the other hand, is long but not deadly. Watch for Garry to unload. 

How Magny Wins

Magny's new objective: survive. "The Haitian Sensation" is smooth enough on the feet and he'll carry a six-inch reach advantage.

He'll need all 80 inches of reach Saturday, as Garry will press, press and press some more. Magny needs to stick that jab out there and get Garry thinking about moving backward. Otherwise, we've got a very one-sided affair.

Garry vs Magny Betting Pick

I had Garry beating Neal by decision. Against Magny, I'll take the youngster to win inside the distance. The 25-year-old has way more vitality in the Octagon, and he'll bring all kinds of heat in a main-card slot at UFC 292.

Pick: Garry To win inside the distance (-175); UNDER 2.5 rounds (-150)