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Conor McGregor Career UFC Odds History

Conor McGregor entering the Octagon ahead of a fight

Conor McGregor has taken the combat sports world by storm since entering the UFC in April 2013. His rare combination of unparalleled bravado and unique striking ability has made him the most polarizing UFC fighter of all time. What sets him apart from other trash-talkers in the sport is his ability to back up his words in impressive fashion, as he’s recorded eight TKO/KO finishes in his 12 UFC fights.

Going back to his time outside the UFC, the 32-year-old Irishman has won 22 of his 26 pro fights. He finished 19 of those fights by TKO/KO, one by submission and two by decision.

He will look to improve upon that record in early 2021, a year after his first-round finish of Donald Cerrone at UFC 246 in January 2020. It appears that “Notorious” is set to run back his 2014 knockout victory over former lightweight interim champion Dustin Poirier.

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The two had talked about doing an exhibition bout in Ireland, so why not get paid for hitting each other in front of what could be a large crowd in Dallas. Of course, it didn’t take long for Poirier to also accept the January 23 date.

From the start of McGregor’s career, he had a lot of shine. He had odds of -155 making him a betting favorite in his UFC debut vs Marcus Brimage in 2013 and has closed as a favorite in all but two fights since. McGregor’s high was -950 vs Dennis Siver at the start of 2015. Meanwhile, against a strong wrestler in Chad Mendes, who was a late replacement in the fight at UFC 189, McGregor was a -210 favorite.

He was an underdog for the first time in his UFC career vs Jose Aldo at UFC 194, closing at -105 before knocking out the Brazilian in 13 seconds.

The line for McGregor’s last fight against Donald Cerrone closed with McGregor as a -310 favorite. The Irishman scored his first knockout victory in the welterweight division, storming Cerrone with a flurry of diverse strikes, including a head kick that led to the win just 40 seconds into the bout.

Unsure of how to place a bet on a UFC fight? We have put together a great betting tutorial to help you get in the action.

McGregor vs Floyd Mayweather

McGregor’s meteoric rise earned him a major payday and a dance with Floyd “Money” Mayweather Jr., arguably the greatest boxer of all time. Understandably, Notorious was an underdog against the multi-division champion, then 49-0, but not by as much as you might have expected as he ended up closing as just a +265 underdog.

Unfortunately for McGregor backers in that pro boxing event, Mayweather scored a 10th-round TKO for the win, but McGregor’s $100-million payday was a win as well.

It wasn’t a completely one-sided affair, though, as many, myself included, believe that McGregor won several rounds before Mayweather kicked it into another gear. Conor says that he learned Floyd’s tendencies and that he would beat him in a rematch – oddsmakers don’t agree as McGregor is an early +600 underdog.

McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Following the May-Mac event, the Irishman returned to the Octagon in a highly anticipated bout for the UFC lightweight belt against Khabib “The Eagle” Nurmagomedov. There was really bad blood between these athletes that spilled over when McGregor attacked Nurmagomedov’s bus with a dolly ahead of the Eagle’s title fight at UFC 223 in Brooklyn in April 2018. 

Once McGregor sorted out his legal issues from the bus incident, the fight was on at UFC 229 in October 2018. And for the second time in his MMA career, Conor was an underdog (+130). Nurmagomedov won that bout via fourth-round submission. It almost seems destined for the two to hook up again and McGregor is a larger underdog in the potential rematch.

2021: The Season of Conor McGregor?

Notorious announced in an interview in late 2019 that he would be returning to the Octagon in 2020 for a season that would consist of at least three fights, with his sights set ultimately on a rematch with Nurmagomedov. His first fight came at UFC 246 in January as he stood across the cage from fan favorite Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone.

While the COVID-19 pandemic has halted McGregor’s season, perhaps his plans have simply been pushed back a year with Poirier set up for January and a date with Manny Pacquiao possibly coming shortly after.

Here’s a list of McGregor’s career UFC odds along with three fights from his pre-UFC days:

Conor McGregor fight Odds & Results
ResultOpponentEventOddsMethodRTime
TBDDustin PoirierMcGregor vs Poirier-180TBDTBDTBD
TBDManny PacquiaoPacquiao vs McGregor (Boxing)+525TBDTBDTBD
WDonald CerroneUFC 246: McGregor vs Cerrone-310TKO (Punches)10:40
LKhabib NurmagomedovUFC 229: Khabib vs McGregor+130Submission (Neck Crank)43:03
LFloyd MayweatherMayweather vs McGregor (Boxing)+265TKO101:05
WEddie AlvarezUFC 205: McGregor vs Alvarez-195TKO (Punches)23:04
WNate DiazUFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor II-155Decision (Majority)55:00
LNate DiazUFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz-400Submission (RNC)24:12
WJose AldoUFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor-105KO (Punches)10:13
WChad MendesUFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor-210TKO (Punches)24:57
WDennis SiverFight Night: McGregor vs Siver-950TKO (Punches)21:54
WDustin PoirierUFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso-225KO (Punches)11:46
WDiego BrandaoFight Night: McGregor vs Brandao-690TKO (Punches)14:05
WMax HollowayFight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen-240Decision (Unanimous)35:00
WMarcus BrimageUFC on Fuel TV: Mousasi vs Latifi-155KO (Punches)11:07
WIvan BuchingerCWFC 51-135KO (Punch)13:40
WDave HillCWFC 47-235Submission (Choke)24:10
WSteve O’KeefeCWFC 45-200KO (Elbows)11:35