With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.
It is always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
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We were finally able to get back into the Sportsbook’s column last week with Matt Fitzpatrick winning his tournament group at the Wells Fargo Championship.
The Englishman was one of our pre-tournament selections and finished runner-up alongside Keegan Bradley, but was still able to cash a wager for our troubles.
It was Max Homa who claimed victory at TPC Potomac for his second career win at the Wells Fargo Championship. The American is now a multiple-time Sportsbook this season and may be considered for the Presidents Cup this fall at Quail Hollow Club.
This week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, a former Ryder Cup rookie, Scottie Scheffler, tops the oddsboard at Sportsbook. Since his debut at Whistling Straits, the Texan has blossomed into the best player in the world and will look to pick up where he left off at the Masters.
Our odds calculator gives Scheffler a 71.43 percent chance to finish inside the top 20 as he is listed at -250 to do so. Needing to lay out $250 to profit $100 at those odds, we will instead look to a few other prop markets for our 2022 AT&T Bryon Nelson expert selections.
2022 AT&T Byron Nelson: What To Look For
There are various locations in the United States where some players are at their best. On the West Coast, those who grew up in California find success on a regular basis, including players like Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson and more recently Max Homa, who has two wins in his home state.
Florida is a hotbed for professional golfers and players who reside in the Sunshine State relish the opportunity when the PGA Tour heads their way come February and March.
Cameron Smith is a perfect example of this as his home course is TPC Sawgrass, the site of his dramatic victory at the Players Championship.
Those two coasts tend to make up the bulk of the conversation when it comes to regional play, but right behind them is Texas. Scottie Scheffler rose to world No. 1 with a win at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play as the Dallas native had played Austin Country Club as a member of the University of Texas golf team.
Jordan Spieth, Will Zalatoris, Ryan Palmer and Harry Higgs also reside in Dallas, as does Bryson DeChambeau, who is still recovering from injury. Patton Kizzire and Jason Kokrak may not be from the Lone Star State but have terrific history in the southern United States.
It may not seem like it but Texas golf is an acquired taste. This should be noted when making your selections for the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.
AT&T Bryon Nelson Top 20 Odds
| Golfer | Odds |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | -250 |
| Justin Thomas | -200 |
| Dustin Johnson | -140 |
| Sam Burns | -140 |
| Xander Schauffele | -140 |
| Jordan Spieth | -130 |
| Will Zalatoris | -130 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | -105 |
| Joaquin Niemann | -105 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +125 |
| Aaron Wise | +145 |
| Jason Kokrak | +145 |
| Adam Scott | +160 |
| Cameron Champ | +160 |
Harry Higgs To Finish Inside The Top 20 (+650)
It has been a tough stretch for the Southern Methodist University product, but TPC Craig Ranch should allow Higgs’ skill set to thrive. He has missed his last three cuts on the PGA Tour, but when on courses where players are able to get away with wayward drives, Higgs’ name tends to creep up on the leaderboard over the weekend.
The Masters is the perfect example of this as he finished inside the top 20 in his debut appearance just last month. A venue where iron play is the biggest ingredient for success, TPC Craig Ranch is similar in that respect.
Higgs is an extremely volatile option for the AT&T Byron Nelson, but his statistics show he may be close to figuring something out. One week he gains strokes with his putter, but not his iron play, and then vice versa.
I believe the fun-loving 30-year-old will piece it all together in his home state of Texas this week and catapult himself to the PGA Championship.
2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Prop Bets
C.T. Pan To Finish Inside The Top 20 (+270)
It has been an up-and-down 2021-22 season but by all accounts, Pan is officially back on the upswing. We looked his way plenty over the swing season and even at the Genesis Invitational where he cashed a nice top-20 wager for us. His iron play has continued to impress and that should bode well for his chances at the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.
He has now made seven of eight cuts, collecting three top-20 finishes, including last week at the Wells Fargo Championship. During this stretch of strong play, Pan has continuously gained strokes on approach. He gains strokes off the tee due to his accuracy, which is not a prerequisite for success at TPC Craig Ranch, rather just an added bonus.
While some consider him to be a short hitter, which he is, Pan often contends at longer venues. He has sparkling results at the Masters and the Genesis Invitational which are featured on bigger ballparks.
The Olympic bronze medalist has been fantastic over the last two months and I am willing to say his play continues on this trajectory at the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.
Tom Hoge To Finish Inside The Top 20 (+300)
There are many players who have ties to Texas and they were mentioned above, but one player who was not included was Hoge. The Sportsbook of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am in early February, the former Texas Christian University standout employed his precise iron play and timely putting around Pebble Beach to earn his first victory on the PGA Tour.
That combination will work wonders at TPC Craig Ranch and we are now receiving a discount on Hoge’s number given a poor month of April. The 32-year-old missed the cut at the RBC Heritage and the Zurich Classic, but there is enough good to consider him at the AT&T Bryon Nelson.
Hoge was in contention at TPC Sawgrass, playing in the final group in the final round, only to fall off the pace and finish in a tie for 33rd place. He is one of the most underrated ball-strikers on the PGA Tour and has shown immense improvement on the greens, making me believe a top-20 wager is a sound investment for the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson.
Talor Gooch To Win Group – A. Wise/J. Day/J. Vegas/T. Fleetwood (+330)
Gooch isn’t from Texas, but he did go to college at Oklahoma State. He can be wild off the tee, but he more than makes up for it with his red-hot iron play and putting abilities on bent grass greens. This has come to fruition this spring after he captured his first victory on the PGA Tour last fall at the RSM Classic.
Gooch is becoming one of the more consistent golfers on the tour, collecting four top-21 finishes in his last five starts. His lone missed cut during this timeframe came at TPC Sawgrass, but before that he was in contention at both the WM Phoenix Open and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Simply put, Gooch is being undervalued compared to his counterparts.
Wise is a former champion of this event, albeit at a completely different venue. He will likely have a decent week, as will Vegas, but Fleetwood and Day’s best days are behind them.
They are shells of their former selves and are incapable of stringing together four quality rounds. This should give way to Gooch, who I imagine finds at least the top 20, if not the top 10, on the leaderboard.
