With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. It is always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 Genesis Scottish Open prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
The 2022 John Deere Classic got off on the wrong foot for us as Steve Stricker withdrew from competition before the onset of the tournament. Still, we were able to cash in a couple make the cut prop bets and there is still room for improvement as we set our sights on the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open.
While last week’s field at TPC Deere Run was filled with rookies and journeymen looking to breakthrough on the PGA Tour, this week at The Renaissance Club will be filled with the premier names in the game.
In fact, nine of the top-10 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee it up with world No. 2 Rory McIlroy being the only exception.
McIlroy will rest before next week’s Open Championship at the Old Course at St. Andrews while others will hope competitive reps will aid them in their quest for the fourth and final major championship of the season.
They are led by a number of major championship winners including world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas.
Scheffler has remained winless since his triumph at the 2022 Masters despite having his fair share of close calls in the process. Losing in a playoff at the Charles Schwab Challenge and falling one stroke short of Matt Fitzpatrick at the U.S. Open, the Texan will attempt to capture his fifth PGA Tour title of the season and solidify his hold on the world of golf.
Scheffler is listed at -225 to finish inside the top 20 at the Genesis Scottish Open at Bovada after last playing at the Travelers Championship. Our odds calculator gives him a 69.2% chance of doing so in his final tournament before the Open.
Needing to lay $225 to profit $100, we will instead look to other options in the prop market for our Genesis Scottish Open selections.
2022 Genesis Scottish Open Prop Bets
Robert MacIntyre To Miss The Cut +125
The Scotsman may be a trendy pick as he is finally playing a home game, but I am unsure of MacIntyre’s prospects at The Renaissance Club.
In his last start, MacIntyre finished in a tie for 13th at the Irish Open where he posted +1.52 strokes gained putting, -0.45 strokes gained around the green and –0.38 strokes gained approach per round.
On a golf course where iron play and chipping will need to be flawless, this may cause the 25-year-old to be in for a short week. MacIntyre had missed his prior two cuts on the DP World Tour before his play at the Irish Open as he consistently relies on his putter while his tee to green game falls behind.
MacIntyre has finishes of CUT, T-14 and T-18 In three appearances at The Renaissance Club. In each instance he struck the ball beautifully, ranking near the top in both strokes gained off the tee and strokes gained approach, which likely will not be the case this week.
Collin Morikawa To Miss The Cut +225
The current Champion Golfer of the Year has experienced a rather poor 2022 for his standards. Morikawa did command the 36-hole lead at the U.S. Open but a third-round 77 left him too far behind of Fitzpatrick to make an adequate charge on Sunday.
Morikawa finished in a tie for fifth at The Country Club in what was his best finish since finishing solo fifth at the Masters. Perhaps the two-time major championship winner should only be considered in those instances as he tends to struggle when the weather gets turned up a notch.
His iron play has been good, but not great and his short game has simply been poor. Before the U.S. Open, Morikawa lost strokes putting in four straight events and was alternating good and bad performances around the green. Morikawa relies so heavily on his iron play that if it dips just a touch, he may be in trouble.
Xander Schauffele Top-10 Finish +175
The Olympic gold medalist has ascended to the fifth ranked player in the world following his victory at the Travelers Championship. Schauffele was able to fend off Sahith Theegala and J.T. Poston and has continued to play well earlier this week at the J.P. McManus Pro-Am at Adare Manor.
This stretch followed up top-20 finishes at the U.S. Open, Memorial Tournament, PGA Championship and AT&T Byron Nelson. In fact, Schauffele has not finished outside the top 20 on a leaderboard since the 2022 Masters in early April.
He is simply playing some of the best golf of his life and should capitalize on this momentum at the Genesis Scottish Open. Schauffele finished in a tie for 10th in his debut showing last season and given the trajectory of his game, a similar result should unfold this year.
Luke List Top-20 Finish +350
The Farmers Insurance Open winner will be making his Genesis Scottish Open debut this week. List is coming off a nice performance at the Travelers Championship where he finished in a tie for 19th and struck the ball immaculately.
He posted +0.91 strokes gained off the tee per round and +2.55 strokes gained approach at TPC River Highlands. Before this finish, List had results of T-26 at the Memorial Tournament and T-31 at the Wells Fargo Championship.
List tends to do some of his best work at more difficult golf courses so the potential for poor weather should play right into his hands. Even it does not rain or heavy winds are not present, List still has the game to at least contend in this top-heavy field. Because of this, the 37-year-old makes for one of our favorite prop bets at the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open.
Callum Tarren Top-20 Finish +800
The 31-year-old finished in a tie for sixth at the John Deere Classic and has quietly started to play some great golf in the United States. Before his play in Illinois, Tarren contended at the U.S. Open at The Country Club and ultimately finished in a tie for 31st.
The reason for Tarren’s success is simple, he is doing everything well. In his last start, the Englishman gained strokes across the board and the wide-open nature of The Renaissance Club should be tailormade for his game.
Tarren is one of the longest hitters in the world and this skill set proved to be advantageous in past Genesis Scottish Opens. If he can simply keep the ball in front of him and out of the various fescue and pot bunkers, Tarren should have a realistic chance to finish inside the top 20.
2022 Genesis Scottish Open: What to Look For
What the John Deere Classic field lacked, the Genesis Scottish Open surely makes up for as the PGA Tour and DP World Tour co-sanctioned event has attracted the biggest names in the game. With the field split in half, those from America are seeking to assimilate to links golf a week in advance of the 150th Open Championship at St. Andrews.
In fact, just last season Collin Morikawa attempted to do the same as he made his debut appearance at the Genesis Scottish Open. The American was unable to garner much momentum at The Renaissance Club as he barely made the cut and struggled mightily on the greens, oftentimes missing putts within just five feet.
To top it off, Morikawa was adamant his iron play was not where he wanted it to be as the contact he made with the turf was worrisome to him. Lo and behold, the 25-year-old raised the Claret Jug the following week at Royal St. George’s and in the process captured the second leg of the career grand slam.
This is a friendly reminder that the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open is not the end all be all as players are able to adjust rather quickly these days. Morikawa is just one example of a player not feeling 100 percent about his game and then going out and winning on the grandest stage the following week.
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