With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 RBC Heritage. It is always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 RBC Heritage prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
Scottie Scheffler once again impressed last week, winning his first career major championship at the Masters Tournament. With four victories in a two-month stretch, the Texan has widened the gap between himself and the competition in the world of golf. In the midst of a scorching stretch of play, we are lucky Scheffler has decided to take some time off as someone else will be entering the Sportsbook’s circle at this week’s RBC Heritage.
The Masters Tournament was not as kind to us as we split our prop bets for the week. Now back to our regularly scheduled programming of attacking the top-20 market, those who play well at Harbour Town Golf Links tend to do so year over year. This should allow us to target a nice mixture of up-and-comers and wily veterans for our 2022 RBC Heritage prop bets.
Justin Thomas, the tournament favorite at Sportsbook, is listed at -250 to finish inside the top 20 down in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Our odds calculator gives the world No. 8 a 71.43 percent chance to do just that as he has captured six top-20 finishes in just seven stroke-play events in 2022.
But needing to lay $250 to profit $100 with his odds, we will instead search farther down the top-20 oddsboard for some perceived value for the 2022 RBC Heritage.
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2022 RBC Heritage: What To Look For
Harbour Town Golf Links will play host this week, meaning the PGA Tour will be featuring yet another Pete Dye design. A well-known architect in the game, Dye has numerous properties, and players have taken notice as his courses include tricky around-the-green shots, tight fairways and misleading sight lines off the tee.
As such, there are numerous competitors who have been able to figure out Dye’s subtle nuances. Dubbed “Pete Dye specialists,” those players include the likes of Patrick Cantlay, Webb Simpson, Si Woo Kim, Brian Harman and Kevin Kisner. Simpson is the only player of the bunch to have claimed victory in Hilton Head, but the others should not be trifled with.
Kim is a playoff loser in this event and won the American Express last year on PGA West, another Dye design. Kisner has been close on some of his properties, winning at Austin Country Club and often playing well at the Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass. While Harman and Cantlay have yet to raise a trophy on a Dye course, they have played tremendous golf at TPC River Highlands throughout their careers.
2022 RBC Heritage Prop Bets & Picks
C.T. Pan +325 Top-20 Finish
Pan won the 2019 RBC Heritage for his first and only PGA Tour victory. Unable to return to the Sportsbook’s circle since, the Washington product should thrive once again at Harbour Town. The 30-year-old got off to a blistering start to his 2021-22 season, finishing T-6 at the Fortinet Championship and T-11 at the Sanderson Farms Championship.
He then hit a snag to kick off his 2022, struggling during the majority of the West Coast swing before finding something in his game at the Genesis Invitational. Finishing in a tie for ninth place at Riviera, Pan continued to strike his irons well once the tour headed to Florida.
With a finish of T-16 at the Honda Classic and top-50 efforts at the Valspar Championship and the Valero Texas Open, Pan’s irons should propel him to a contention run at the RBC Heritage. Not only does he have a victory here, but also a T-23 result in 2018, thus displaying a clear comfort level on this Pete Dye design.
Kramer Hickok +550 Top-20 Finish
Hickok’s closest call to date came on a Pete Dye design as he was a playoff loser to Harris English in last summer’s Travelers Championship. An epic eight-hole playoff away from being a Sportsbook on the PGA Tour, the Texan will be making his RBC Heritage debut this week. The 29-year-old should be able to bring the skill set that aided him in Connecticut to South Carolina as he remains one of the most accurate drivers on the tour.
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With that needed around Harbour Town, Hickok presents a boom-or-bust option for the RBC Heritage. He has captured three top-20 finishes this season with those coming at the HPE Houston Open, Sony Open and Corales Puntacana Championship. Two of those venues are situated on the coast with the main defense being Mother Nature and the potential for high winds.
In addition to those finishes mentioned above, Hickok also flashed some form at the Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass. He should be able to play himself into the mix over the weekend, given not only his course fit but also his tendency to spike with his scoring clubs.
Takumi Kanaya +650 Top-20 Finish
Takumi Kanaya is a name most golf fans may be unfamiliar with, but the young man from Japan is very much an up-and-comer. A participant in the Olympic Games alongside countryman Hideki Matsuyama, Kanaya has since graduated from the Japan Tour and has played his golf on both the DP World Tour and PGA Tour.
This season alone, he has captured four top-25 finishes worldwide with the latest coming at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. The 23-year-old was able to get the better of Xander Schauffele to advance out of the group stage before he eventually fell in the Round of 16. His finish at Austin CC added to those at Saudi International, Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and the Zozo Championship.
While he has missed the cut the last two weeks on the PGA Tour, Kanaya was impressive in his two days at Augusta National. He posted +0.30 SG: Off-the-Tee and +2.24 SG: Approach in Georgia and given his strong baseline metrics both on and around the green, he should be in for a memorable showing in his first RBC Heritage appearance.
Bill Haas +1200 Top-20 Finish
The former FedExCup champion has played plenty of golf this year as the RBC Heritage will mark Haas’ 11th start of 2022. After getting out to a sluggish start, the Wake Forest product has slowly pieced his game together and arrives off five consecutive made cuts.
Haas has been displaying a level of consistency over the past two months not seen since the peak of his career. He played well on the coastal courses of PGA National, Corales Puntacana Resort and in the Puerto Rico Open, and Harbour Town should fit right among those venues.
Having played in Hilton Head 18 times, it is surprising to see the 39-year-old has been unable to put together a quality result. Haas should have a real opportunity to change that this week as his around-the-green game and putting have been stellar. If he finds some cooperation in the ball-striking department, I am willing to chance he will do just that at +1200 for a top-20 finish.